England v Croatia Match Betting (1x2)

We’ve always been somewhat puzzled that England are the outright favourites to win Euro 2020, with the Three Lions having failed to win a major tournament since 1966 although they do have quite a lot of home advantage during this summer’s competition.

For starters, Gareth Southgate’s team will play their three Group D matches at Wembley Stadium and the calibre of opponent is somewhat modest with Croatia, Czech Republic and a play-off winner visiting the London ground.

However, the former have a strong track record when it comes to recent international tournaments and actually reached the 2018 World Cup final. In addition, the Blazers deservedly beat England at the semi-final stage despite falling a goal behind.

Therefore, you might be surprised to learn that the best price about the home side is 8/11, with the bookies potentially fearing an influx of patriotic money on a side who could potentially play semi-final and final at Wembley too.

On the flip side, the Three Lions weren’t completely flawless during qualifying and have some serious injury concerns ahead of the tournament, with Harry Kane and Marcus Rashford both sidelined for several weeks and they might not kick a ball in anger before this match.

In addition, Croatia are clearly a team that needs to be respected and they won their qualifying section by finishing ahead of Wales, Slovakia and Hungary. It wasn’t always vintage but the team still have a good calibre of players including Luka Modric and Ivan Rakitic.

Unibet offer 22/5 about a win for the Croatians although it shouldn’t really be a surprise if that happened and the only time the team tasted defeat in qualifying was a 2-1 reverse away to Hungary.

The draw would be a decent outcome for both teams and William Hill have a tempting 27/10 about the clash ending all square, with the Czechs looking like beatable opponents along with whichever team comes through the play-offs.

Asian Handicap

We think that the match odds don’t actually reflect what’s likely to happen on the pitch and we’d make England at least even money if we were running a bookmaking firm.

While the home side might enjoy a victory, there could be merit in trying to back Croatia on the Asian Handicap market and we like the 7/6 with BetVictor that the Blazers win with a +0.5 goal advantage.

That means a draw or an away defeat will be enough to get over the line, with Croatia +1 trading at 5/8 and that would mean England needing to win by at least two clear goals in order for the bet to lose.

Correct Score

The Croatians would be happy to leave Wembley Stadium with a draw and we think the 1-1 scoreline could be the route worth taking at 7/1, with both sides likely to approach this match from a defensively cagey position.

BetVictor offer a tempting 17/1 about a 2-1 victory for Croatia over the ninety minutes, while a 2-2 draw is trading at 20/1.


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