Italy v Uruguay was expected to be the Group D decider and the clash of the best sides but Costa Rica made a mockery of form and world rankings by beating both of them and this is now effectively a play-off to qualify alongside the Central American “minnows”. Read on as we offer up some juicy betting tips, the latest and best live odds comparison and our pre-match analysis.

The bookies don’t see too much between this pair, with the stalemate available at odds of 23/10 with Paddy Power and Italy priced at 8/5 with Coral. Uruguay are the underdogs here at 21/10 with Tote and we have to say that we quite fancy them at that price.

Both sides have been poor, both in wins over England and in defeats against Costa Rica, but on both occasions we would argue that Uruguay offered a little bit more. Moreover, Luis Suarez is sure to be that little bit fitter than he was when playing against England and as he proved with two goals in that game he is a player who can change matches.

Italy only need a draw to go through to the next round on goal difference but we don’t think they’ll get it against a Uruguay side that will have taken great confidence from their win over England. Our main betting tip here is Uruguay to win whilst at longer odds backing them to win by exactly a single goal looks good too.

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