The outright winner market for Player of the Tournament has several contenders. Some, like Lionel Messi and Neymar were obvious choices but others, for example James Rodriguez and Arjen Robben, were available at very long odds indeed before the World Cup began.

Our pre-tournament prediction and betting tip for the Golden Ball was Messi – hardly original given he is the world’s greatest player. Thus far Messi has delivered the goods though and as such we stand by that tip. The Argentine remains the favourite and heads the outright betting at odds of 11/4 with Bwin whilst James is next at 3/1 with BetVictor.

If Colombia can see off Brazil in the quarters the Monaco forward has a chance but if not Neymar would appear to be Messi’s main opposition at betting odds of 4/1 with Sky Bet.

Of course, with three games to go there is still the chance that an outsider could leap into the frame for the Golden Ball with three great performances. If you’re looking for such an option in the outright market then our betting tip has to be Thomas Muller at 14/1: if Germany go all the way in this World Cup it is likely to be his goals that take them there.

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