Brest v Real Madrid Match Result
Many punters will regard Real Madrid as banker material when it comes to their Champions League accumulator bets on Wednesday. With the best football betting sites, Los Merengues are trading at odds of 1.40 which implies a rough probability of 70% that they will go ahead and win this final group encounter at Stade Francis-Le Blé.
They may be the likelier winners of the game although the fact that Real have already lost three times in the group stage should serve as a warning. They might have scored seventeen goals in their seven encounters but they have also conceded on twelve occasions and come up against a Brest side who actually sit three places higher.
Eric Roy’s side finished third in the Ligue 1 standings last season and their strong home form has continued domestically this term. They have won six of their nine domestic encounters in front of their own fans and also enjoyed a flyer in the Champions League after beating Sturm Graz 2-1 before claiming a 4-0 victory away to Red Bull Salzburg.
They then faced German champions Bayer Leverkusen and matched their indomitable opponents when landing a 1-1 draw, while they have also landed victories over Sparta Prague and PSV Eindhoven. Despite a 2-1 defeat to Shakhtar last time out, recent form has been strong and they claimed a 1-0 win over Le Havre at the weekend.
Perhaps they will be playing Real Madrid at the wrong time, with Los Merengues having won nine of their last ten encounters. The only blemish was a defeat to Barcelona in the Spanish Super Cup, although the team have been cutting loose since then. They have registered four straight victories and scored seventeen goals against Celta Vigo, Las Palmas, Red Bull Salzburg and Valladolid.
Goals Under/Over
Both teams have already qualified for the knockout stage of the Champions League, so there isn’t a huge deal of jeopardy when it comes to this game. It partially explains why Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a short price and that’s also down to Real Madrid’s huge scoring power which is currently seeing them average four goals per game.
Kylian Mbappe is capable of covering the 2.5 goals line by himself and that was certainly in evidence when pilfering a hat-trick against Valladolid. It’s also worth mentioning that the previous fourteen encounters featuring Real Madrid have now seen three goals or more registered and it would therefore appear that this outcome is very likely.
Brest will certainly be looking to attack and it’s rare that they draw a blank at home, with the Ligue 1 side regarding this as a huge game in their history. They were able to find the net against Bayer Leverkusen earlier in the campaign and Over 3.5 Goals could be worthy of consideration.
BTTS
The bookies think that BTTS Yes is a likely outcome and it’s virtually impossible to see Real Madrid failing to score. The last time that the Champions League holders failed to score was at Anfield back in November, with the Spanish side still having three shots on target on that occasion. It’s usually the case that they score at least two goals per game and the firepower within the squad is mind-blowing.
However, this isn’t a team that keeps a huge number of clean sheets. Before winning 3-0 away to Valladolid on Saturday, the previous four clashes all involved BTTS Yes. Quite simply, Carlo Ancelotti’s side know that they can practically outscore any opponent by adopting an attacking brand of football that could yet help them retain the crown.
Brest’s previous two matches have been BTTS No although the three games previously to this were BTTS Yes. There was a 2-1 win over Lyon before a cup win by the same score against Nantes. The same thing happened away to Rennes and we can see them firing at least one consolation goal even if they fail to match their opponents on the goal scoring front.
First Goalscorer
Kylian Mbappe is now in the zone for Real Madrid. The Frenchman has notched twenty-two goals in all competitions and the forward is now looking like he will score in every clash. There have been eight goals scored by the player in the previous five encounters, with that hat-trick at Valladolid illustrating that he’s the most dangerous attacker in the world right now.
We also know that Mbappe is going to be on penalty duties for Real, although some punters might want to consider other Real Madrid scoring options. Vinicius Junior bagged two goals in a recent Champions League clash against Red Bull Salzburg and the Brazilian is clearly a big goal threat who might actually benefit from Mbappe dragging players out of position.
Rodrygo would be the star player of most other top teams across Europe, with the Spaniard having scored eight times in his previous eight encounters. A brace came against Red Bull Salzburg and that was the fourth consecutive game where the player had found the net, with previous strikes coming against Mallorca, Barcelona and Las Palmas.