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Value Bets - Betting Odds With the Best Value

Football: Int. Friendlies
07/10 20:45
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Bet36512.007.61%1.979
Football: Euro Women
22/09 18:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
WilliamHill3.2527.98%1.929
Football: Europa League Qual
24/09 20:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Betfair3.0029.89%1.845
Football: Japan - J3
22/09 11:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Bet3653.4027.66%1.779
Football: Japan - J1 League
23/09 12:30
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
WilliamHill3.0043.79%1.751
Football: China - Super League
28/09 11:20
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Unibet15.006.31%1.733
Football: Euro Women
22/09 18:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Unibet10.009.20%1.691
Football: Spain - Primera Division
30/09 19:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
WilliamHill6.5014.71%1.586
Football: Ecuador - Apertura
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
WilliamHill2.6239.26%1.583
Football: Brazil - Cup
23/09 02:30
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Unibet5.6016.57%1.561
Football: Germany - Cup
15/10 20:45
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Betfair36.002.70%1.556
Football: Serbia - SuperLiga
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Coral34.002.74%1.521
Football: Germany - Cup
15/10 20:45
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Betfair81.001.20%1.518
Football: Brazil - Cup
CRB v Juventude
Outcome: 1
23/09 00:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
betway9.0010.07%1.516
Football: Brazil - Cup
Ceara v Brusque
Outcome: X
24/09 02:30
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Coral11.008.73%1.514
Football: Brazil - Cup
24/09 02:30
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
betway9.0010.33%1.514
Football: Euro Women
22/09 18:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Unibet6.2514.73%1.484
Football: UEFA Nations League
10/10 20:45
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Bet3658.5011.06%1.448
Football: UEFA Nations League
11/10 18:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Bet3652.9032.32%1.447
Football: Romania - Liga I
20/09 20:30
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
MansionBet7.7511.87%1.441
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Get the Best Value Bets at Odds1x2.com

This page is designed for betting customers to place bets that stand the best chance of winning against the bookmaker. They are described as value bets and these wagers are generally regarded as being a great price considering that actual probability of winning.

How to Get the Best Value?

You will see the bookmaker who is offering this particular price along with the odds themselves, while you can also see a probability percentage along with a value score. The value score is calculated by taking the odds about a selection and the calculated probability.

The higher the value score, the more chance you have of winning with your bet. However, if a selection is available at 4.81 and the implied probability is 20%, it still means that there’s an 80% chance of the bet losing even if the 4.81 is a value price.

However, by consistently taking these value bets at Odds1x2.com, you stand a greater chance of landing a profitable return compared to simply betting on other selections. That is because we’ve done the maths to present you with value propositions.

When a bookmaker creates a particular 1x2 betting market for a particular match, then they will have a margin factored into the prices. It’s up to the punter to find the edge that will mean the customer beats the bookie over time.

How is the Probability Calculated?

We have used maths-based modelling to arrive at a probability with every football match that you can see showcased at Odds1x2.com. We then pick out the selections where the value score is at the highest and present them on this page.

You might not agree with our probability percentage and we advise customers to always form their own opinion regarding a particular football match rather than rely on outside data sources although our figures should at least be used to create a betting view.

Can Any Price Be Value?

The short answer is yes. Whether a selection is trading at 1.10 or 101.00, you can still calculate it to be a value proposition. You might think that backing Manchester City to win their football match at 1.10 is bad value. However, if they have won their previous ten Premier League matches, a case can be made for the Citizens at a short price.

Naturally, some customers will not want to bet at odds of 1.10 as they would realistically need to gamble £100 in order to land a return of £110 although the principle still applies that 1.10 is a value price and that the bet stands a greater than 90% chance of winning.

Similarly, odds of 101.00 about a selection suggests that it’s a complete no-hoper. This is the sort of price you might see about a fancy correct scoreline such as 5-4 when Arsenal play against Tottenham Hotspur. However, if the data modelling indicates that there’s a greater than 1% chance of the bet winning, then there’s a case for describing it as value.

Just because a 101.00 shot is regarded as value, it still doesn’t mean it’s likely to win. It might be that 51.00 should be the correct price about the selection and that would still mean only a 2% chance of winning with a bet.

Most betting customers like to place bets somewhere in between. They might look for an even money (2.0) chance and try to work out whether there’s a greater than 50% chance that this selection wins. Providing that you have good data modelling, you would only need to back six even money chances out of ten bets in order to land a profit.

Think about Long-Term Profit

Many betting customers get dismayed when they place value bets and don’t get a profit straight away. The bottom line is that you only need to back a 5/1 shot once out of five times to break even, so it comes down to trusting your judgement and the implied probability about a particular betting selection.

Similarly, if you enjoy a winning start with your value betting, then it doesn’t mean that you should start to increase your stakes to try and land more money. Ultimately, you should have a considered staking plan which might see you bet large stakes on odds-on selections that are value and small stakes on odds-against selections.

It’s also important not to follow the favourites every time you bet. Just because they have more chance of winning doesn’t mean that the odds are a fair reflection of their probability of winning. Liverpool could be trading at 1/2 favourites although the stats might suggest that they have a 60% chance of winning.

That would mean odds of 1/2 are actually poor value, irrespective of whether the Reds end up winning their game. After all, a £20 bet would only land a £30 return and that would potentially be a big risk considering that they’re only 60% likely to win in the first place.

Can Accumulators Be Value Bets?

The short answer is probably not. If you are putting several teams in a multiple bet, then you are significantly reducing your chances of getting a return, even if you are packing your bet slip with lots of favourites.

We would argue that placing singles and doubles is probably the best route to betting on football and other sports. Keep returning to this page for the best value propositions and hopefully you will get more from your betting in the process.