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Value Bets - Betting Odds With the Best Value

Football: Estonia - Esiliiga
05/12 13:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Betfair13.007.00%1.998
Football: Russia - Division 1
05/12 13:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
betway13.006.99%1.979
Football: Russia - Division 1
05/12 13:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Coral13.007.06%1.979
Football: Italy - Serie A
06/01 16:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Mr Play14.506.27%1.948
Football: Euro 2020
17/06 18:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Mr Play15.755.89%1.927
Football: Spain - Tercera
05/12 13:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Betfair6.5014.02%1.917
Football: Russia - Premier League
05/12 14:30
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Coral46.002.08%1.885
Football: Italy - Serie A
Genoa v Bologna
Outcome: 2
10/01 16:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
888sport3.0029.33%1.860
Football: England - National League South
05/12 16:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
WilliamHill4.7521.53%1.854
Football: Slovakia - Super Liga
05/12 18:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
888sport3.3026.92%1.845
Football: Estonia - Esiliiga
05/12 13:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Coral12.007.67%1.844
Football: Estonia - Esiliiga
05/12 13:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Pinnacle11.707.96%1.798
Football: Italy - Serie A
10/01 16:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Unibet9.0010.02%1.791
Football: Italy - Serie A
10/01 16:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
888sport9.0010.02%1.791
Football: Brazil - Serie A
Goias v Gremio
Outcome: X
14/12 01:30
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Unibet11.008.70%1.773
Football: Spain - Superliga Femenina
05/12 13:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Unibet12.007.65%1.773
Football: Brazil - Serie A
13/12 23:15
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Mr Play25.003.56%1.772
Football: England - WSL
05/12 14:30
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Coral29.003.23%1.765
Football: Brazil - Serie B
14/12 01:30
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Unibet91.001.05%1.734
Football: Italy - Serie A
06/01 16:00
BookmakerOddsProbabilityValue
Mr Play33.002.76%1.709
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Get the Best Value Bets at Odds1x2.com

This page is designed for betting customers to place bets that stand the best chance of winning against the bookmaker. They are described as value bets and these wagers are generally regarded as being a great price considering that actual probability of winning.

How to Get the Best Value?

You will see the bookmaker who is offering this particular price along with the odds themselves, while you can also see a probability percentage along with a value score. The value score is calculated by taking the odds about a selection and the calculated probability.

The higher the value score, the more chance you have of winning with your bet. However, if a selection is available at 4.81 and the implied probability is 20%, it still means that there’s an 80% chance of the bet losing even if the 4.81 is a value price.

However, by consistently taking these value bets at Odds1x2.com, you stand a greater chance of landing a profitable return compared to simply betting on other selections. That is because we’ve done the maths to present you with value propositions.

When a bookmaker creates a particular 1x2 betting market for a particular match, then they will have a margin factored into the prices. It’s up to the punter to find the edge that will mean the customer beats the bookie over time.

How is the Probability Calculated?

We have used maths-based modelling to arrive at a probability with every football match that you can see showcased at Odds1x2.com. We then pick out the selections where the value score is at the highest and present them on this page.

You might not agree with our probability percentage and we advise customers to always form their own opinion regarding a particular football match rather than rely on outside data sources although our figures should at least be used to create a betting view.

Can Any Price Be Value?

The short answer is yes. Whether a selection is trading at 1.10 or 101.00, you can still calculate it to be a value proposition. You might think that backing Manchester City to win their football match at 1.10 is bad value. However, if they have won their previous ten Premier League matches, a case can be made for the Citizens at a short price.

Naturally, some customers will not want to bet at odds of 1.10 as they would realistically need to gamble £100 in order to land a return of £110 although the principle still applies that 1.10 is a value price and that the bet stands a greater than 90% chance of winning.

Similarly, odds of 101.00 about a selection suggests that it’s a complete no-hoper. This is the sort of price you might see about a fancy correct scoreline such as 5-4 when Arsenal play against Tottenham Hotspur. However, if the data modelling indicates that there’s a greater than 1% chance of the bet winning, then there’s a case for describing it as value.

Just because a 101.00 shot is regarded as value, it still doesn’t mean it’s likely to win. It might be that 51.00 should be the correct price about the selection and that would still mean only a 2% chance of winning with a bet.

Most betting customers like to place bets somewhere in between. They might look for an even money (2.0) chance and try to work out whether there’s a greater than 50% chance that this selection wins. Providing that you have good data modelling, you would only need to back six even money chances out of ten bets in order to land a profit.

Think about Long-Term Profit

Many betting customers get dismayed when they place value bets and don’t get a profit straight away. The bottom line is that you only need to back a 5/1 shot once out of five times to break even, so it comes down to trusting your judgement and the implied probability about a particular betting selection.

Similarly, if you enjoy a winning start with your value betting, then it doesn’t mean that you should start to increase your stakes to try and land more money. Ultimately, you should have a considered staking plan which might see you bet large stakes on odds-on selections that are value and small stakes on odds-against selections.

It’s also important not to follow the favourites every time you bet. Just because they have more chance of winning doesn’t mean that the odds are a fair reflection of their probability of winning. Liverpool could be trading at 1/2 favourites although the stats might suggest that they have a 60% chance of winning.

That would mean odds of 1/2 are actually poor value, irrespective of whether the Reds end up winning their game. After all, a £20 bet would only land a £30 return and that would potentially be a big risk considering that they’re only 60% likely to win in the first place.

Can Accumulators Be Value Bets?

The short answer is probably not. If you are putting several teams in a multiple bet, then you are significantly reducing your chances of getting a return, even if you are packing your bet slip with lots of favourites.

We would argue that placing singles and doubles is probably the best route to betting on football and other sports. Keep returning to this page for the best value propositions and hopefully you will get more from your betting in the process.

Value Bets FAQ

Value bets are betting selections where the odds appear to be bigger than the probability of that outcome winning. It doesn’t mean that the bet is definitely going to win, although it does suggest that if you bet on these selections, you stand more chance of making a long-term profit than by betting on other markets. There are different ways of working out a value bet and some punters place them based on their own detailed research.
We have a special algorithm which helps us to unearth value bets for football matches taking place around the world. You will see that we have a “Value Bet Score” and the bets are listed according to this, with our team looking at the previous form of both teams as well as league position. We then view the available bookmaker odds and make recommendations based on the difference between the price and the probability of that outcome happening.
It’s possible to get a Value Bet with any bookmaker that is featured on Odds1x2.com. We have football odds comparison grids which highlight the biggest price and that sometimes triggers a Value Bet based on our data. You will find that there’s a wide range of bookies showcased on this page and it all depends on how they have priced up a particular football match compared to their rivals.
This all depends on the bookmaker maximum stake for that betting market. Some bookies will allow you to bet a large amount on a Value Bet in the same way as a normal bet, although there are some operators who might limit your stake size, especially if the bet is on a football league which is relatively obscure. You can often check the max stake for a bet before proceeding with a wager and it’s good to know before making a deposit.
As you can see from the latest selections, Odds1x2.com focus on the 1x2 or Full-Time Result market which consists of either backing the home team, the away team or the draw. Therefore, it’s a three-way betting market and we might identify any of the possible outcomes as value based on our own data. That’s not to say you will find your own perceived value by hunting around for a big price on markets like Asian Handicap.
You might have noticed that Odds1x2.com have a Sure Bets page and we recommend you check this out to place bets where you can lock in a profit whatever the outcome. Value Bets are different in so far as we outline just one of the selections for a particular betting market. We have no interest in looking at the other selections with Value Bets and therefore there’s more risk attached to each bet each time.
Yes they can. While Odds1x2.com will bring you the most up-to-date odds for each football match, the prices are subject to change and could shorten by the time you have visited a bookmaker website. Therefore, you should make sure the original price that you see remains the same, with the bookies entitled to change their odds and they will shorten any price if a lot of bets are being placed.
While Odds1x2.com have their own sophisticated system in place to calculate Value Bets, some betting customers will aim to have their own strategy. For example, if a team are trading at evens to win their game and you think that their chances of winning are greater than 50%, then you can go ahead and place this bet with confidence. It all depends on how you’ve arrived at the conclusion that this selection represents value.
No. With online sports betting, there is no guarantee that you are going to back winners and land a profit. However, value betting is something that can give you a better chance of winning money over a long-term period. Don’t be despondent if you’re backing Value Bets and initially losing money. Providing that your strategy is a sound one, then you might hit a winning run and we recommend that you give any strategy a certain amount of time.
Many betting customers enjoy placing a football accumulator bet and it’s a great feeling when all the teams in your football acca win. However, it’s also fair to say that the bookies love customers placing accumulators as the vast majority end up being losing bets. Part of the problem is that value bets tend to exist with different bookmakers although you sometimes have to settle for a worse price about a team if you’re placing an acca.
We always recommend customers have a staking plan when it comes to football betting. That means putting a certain amount of money to one side for a particular day or week and also thinking about how much to place on each selection. Sometimes customers will aim to win a certain amount and bet accordingly, while some will rigidly stick to the same amount being bet irrespective of the odds that they are betting on. A staking plan will help you stay disciplined and win more money.
While we have identified Value Bets in the 1x2 betting market thanks to our system, there are several other betting markets where it’s possible to land perceived value. The Asian Handicap is a betting market that is worth understanding and this often boils a football match down to a two-way market where you don’t always need a team to win in order to profit. This is especially good if you have a strong view on a particular match and it’s worth checking them out.