PSG v Inter Match Result
Paris Saint-Germain are given a 45% chance of claiming a normal-time success in this match although they are big favourites to lift the trophy. They have a 60% implied probability of being crowned champions of Europe and there’s been plenty to like about their performances.
PSG were the underdogs when facing Liverpool at the last sixteen stage. They actually lost the first leg at home to Arne Slot’s side before finding a way to win at Anfield and going through on spot kicks. They then survived a late Aston Villa onslaught to go through to the semi-finals where they were able to win at the Emirates before completing the job at Parc des Princes.
Enrique has created a special team and we’re likely to see Ousmane Dembele back in the team, with the forward having scored twenty-one goals in Ligue 1 this term. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is a revelation out in a wide position and Desire Doue is going to be a world star who possesses skill in abundance.
However, Inter won’t be daunted by the task in hand. The Italian side claimed a 3-3 draw at the Nou Camp and raced into a 5-3 aggregate lead at the San Siro before coming back from 6-5 down to equalise at the death. They were then able to score a seventh goal in extra-time and they will believe it’s their destiny to win.
Considering what’s at stake, perhaps we’ll see a tight encounter and it could bring the draw into play. We’re talking about two high-quality sides and there’s certainly defensive weaknesses when it comes to the PSG rearguard which was evidently exposed by Villa and Arsenal along the way.
However, we think a PSG win could be on the cards. They have been the outstanding team in Europe since the knockout stage and perhaps the Inter victory over Barcelona will have ended up being their cup final.
Goals Under/Over
Despite the high-scoring encounters involving Inter Milan when they faced Barcelona in the semi-final, the bookmakers think it might be a different story in the Champions League final. The Champions League betting sites anticipate that Under 2.5 Goals is a slightly more likely outcome than Over 2.5 Goals and that is borne out by the latest odds.
It’s certainly the case that whichever team takes the lead at the Allianz Arena will want to hold on to their advantage. On the flip side, we saw a grand total of thirteen goals scored over two legs between Inter and Barcelona. PSG can run a tighter defensive ship and that was in evidence considering they shut out Liverpool at Anfield and Arsenal at the Emirates.
Therefore, the Unders is probably the right call and we think that a PSG win can be achieved by a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline, with Enrique’s side likely to dominate possession.
BTTS
Although Under 2.5 Goals is trading at odds-on, the same does not apply to BTTS No. The bookies have BTTS Yes as favourite on this market and that’s because the 1-1 is considered one of the most likely correct scores. Paris have scored 85 goals in Ligue 1 this season and they have also been able to find the net in all Champions League knockout games except for Liverpool at home.
On that occasion, the French side battered their Merseyside opponents before Alisson Becker was able to keep a clean sheet. However, it’s surely the case that PSG will create plenty of chances against an Inter side who conceded three goals home and away against Barcelona in the previous round.
However, the question is whether Inter can find the net here. They might not see a huge amount of the ball and it comes down to whether they can press in key areas. PSG will look to bravely play the ball out from the back and perhaps this is where Inter can potentially have success. The Italian side also scored home and away against Bayern Munich which suggests that the net might bulge for them here.
First Goalscorer
Achraf Hakimi has scored some important goals in Europe for PSG this season and perhaps the roving full-back can score the opener in this game. The Moroccan found the net against Aston Villa and Arsenal, although punters might instead gravitate towards Ousmane Dembele who has notched an incredible thirty-two goals in all competitions this term. He’s likely to be firing on cylinders when the final comes around.
Fabian Ruiz isn’t a prolific scorer for this team although the Spaniard bagged the opener against the Gunners at the Parc des Princes and the midfielder was able to score against Nice in Ligue 1 recently. We also think Desire Doue could be worth considering and there was plenty to like about his performance against Villa.
Marcus Thuram was sensational in both games against Barcelona, with the French forward scoring against Barcelona at the Nou Camp before a commanding performance in the second leg. He will be out to make history and follow in the footsteps of his father, with Lautaro Martinez having found the net twenty-five times this term. The Argentine could be the one for Inter if they are to score the opening goal.