Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Match Result
According to the latest odds, Real Madrid have roughly a 65% chance of progressing to the last eight of the Champions League. They clash with Atletico Madrid over two games and have the slight disadvantage of playing at home first, with Carlo Ancelotti’s side aiming to establish some kind of advantage before making the short journey across the city to lock horns with their rivals.
There was plenty to like about the way that Los Merengues were able to triumph against Manchester City, winning 3-2 at the Etihad Stadium before a 3-1 success at the Bernabeu. However, their current match odds of 1.83 for this first leg encounter means that they are not betting bankers in the eyes of the Champions League betting sites.
Real have won ten of their twelve encounters at home in La Liga, although one of those winless matches came recently against Atletico. On 8 February, Julian Alvarez gave the visitors the lead from the penalty spot before the hosts were able to equalise early in the second half although neither side were able to score the winner.
Ancelotti will draw heart from the fact that Atleti failed to get a shot on target aside from that penalty, with Real actually having nine attempts on goal. Since that result, there has been that 3-1 win over Manchester City before a 2-0 success against Girona, while this game comes after a relatively tricky La Liga clash at Real Betis.
As for Atletico, they have avoided defeat in ten of their twelve away games in La Liga this term, with Diego Simeone’s side running a tight ship. Only eight goals have been conceded on the road and the draw is surely worth a second look in a match where there might be no quarter given.
Goals Under/Over
The bookies can’t decide whether this Champions League clash is likely to go over or under the 2.5 goal line. Real Madrid have clearly got lots of attacking weaponry in the form of Rodrygo, Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior, although they will want to tread carefully against opponents who are going to be tactically astute and hope to keep things tight before the second leg.
It's for this reason that Under 2.5 Goals makes plenty of appeal. This covers the possibility of a goalless draw along with another 1-1 scoreline. This also covers 1-0 and 2-0 wins for either side, with that preferred over the prospect that the net will bulge at least three times. Even a 1-0 defeat for Atletico Madrid might not be regarded as a terrible outcome. It’s also worth noting that the previous three encounters between the teams have ended in a 1-1 draw.
BTTS
The BTTS Yes selection is trading at a slightly shorter price than BTTS No. This is principally down to the fact that the 1-1 scoreline is clearly a lively runner and it’s not a bad idea to consider this betting option when it comes to the correct score market. Atletico landed that 1-1 draw at the Bernabeu in February and this came after the same outcome at the Metropolitano Stadium where Angel Correa scored a late equaliser at the end of September.
Both of Real Madrid’s Champions League clashes against Manchester City involved goals and both teams scoring. Los Merengues managed eight shots on target at the Etihad Stadium and the same number in the home tie, with Real only drawing one blank at home all season and that came when being stunned 4-0 at home to Barcelona at the end of October.
Atletico are generally not full of goals on the road and they have managed eighteen in their twelve away encounters, conceding just eight. Interestingly, they played out a crazy 4-4 draw away to Barcelona in the Copa del Rey on 25 February, with Atleti scoring two early goals before coming from behind by scoring two late goals.
First Goalscorer
There’s no doubt that Kylian Mbappe will be the most popular first goalscorer option for this Champions League clash. After all, the Frenchman is a household name and was also able to plunder a hat-trick against Manchester City, with the former PSG striker having scored seventeen times in La Liga this season and this includes the equaliser against Atletico Madrid.
At the time of writing, the superstar has scored six goals in the past five encounters, with twenty-eight goals scored in all competitions. However, there are other players who can pilfer goals and that includes Vinicius Junior who can find space in tight corners against a tough defence. The Brazilian’s recent goal against Girona ended a run of six games without a goal and perhaps we’ll see him on the scoresheet here.
Rodrygo is something of an unsung star for Los Merengues and he’ll also be looking end a goalless run in this clash, while Atletico will hope that the goals can continue flowing after finding a way to score four times against Barcelona in the Copa del Rey. Julian Alvarez will be on penalty duties and he scored an audacious Panenka in the recent La Liga clash.