It's first versus third at the Allianz Arena on Sunday. Whether it will be a close contest remains to be seen, with Bayern Munich very strong favourites to take a step nearer to the German title with a victory. They face a Hoffenheim side who have been arguably the surprise package of the Bundesliga this term and will fancy their chances of a shock success.
Christian Ilzer has done an excellent job with Die Kraichgauer and this fixture is essentially a free hit for a team who have won six, drawn three and lost one of their ten clashes played on the road. They've averaging over two points per league match right now and will hope to give a good account of themselves in the hardest fixture of the season.
Bayern Munich v Hoffenheim Betting Tips
Bayern Munich are unlikely to be stopped in their quest for another Bundesliga crown. The champions of Germany have collected fifty-one points from their first twenty encounters in the top-flight. Their form at the Allianz Arena has been typically solid, with eight wins, one draw and one defeat across ten home matches. They have fared even better on the road thanks to eight victories and two draws.
In short, Vincent Kompany's side win the vast majority of their Bundesliga games. It's likely that victory will be secured from a Sunday afternoon meeting with Hoffenheim. Despite the visitors having a memorable season, it's Bayern who have a 77% chance of landing a success according to the German Bundesliga betting sites.
The plain facts are that Bayern average four goals per home match. That sort of ratio is going to win you bucketloads of football matches, although there have been a couple of recent wobbles. In the middle of December, Mainz left the Allianz Arena with a 2-2 draw and there was then a really big upset at home to Augsburg in January.
The visitors somehow claimed a 2-1 success in Bavaria despite having less than 30% of possession. The German champions were also held to a recent 2-2 draw away to Hamburg and face a side who have registered five consecutive wins. Hoffenheim are unbeaten in their past seven clashes and have only lost once on the road all term.
When the teams met back in September, Bayern left with a 4-1 win although the visitors have now only lost two further games. They've enjoyed some impressive victories including a 5-1 slaying of Borussia Monchengladbach. Their past two away games have seen wins against Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen.
Goals Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals is available at odds of 1.25. This means there's an implied probability of 80% that there will be three or more scored at the Allianz Arena. This can be mainly explained to the fact that forty-nine goals have been scored across ten Bayern Munich home games. The champions always have the propensity to find goals in volume across ninety minutes.
Even moving the line to Over 3.5 Goals yields an odds-on price. 1.66 suggests a 60% chance of four or more goals being landed. You could even push the boat out to Over 4.5 Goals if you want to get bigger odds, with a price of 2.50 available. However, Hoffenheim's goal data on the road is a good deal more conservative.
There have been twenty-nine goals across ten Hoffenheim away games. Recent 3-1 wins against Eintracht Frankfurt and Union Berlin suggest that the net can bulge a few times here.
BTTS
Both teams to score is likely to happen according to the Bundesliga betting sites. Odds of 1.50 for BTTS Yes implies a 66% chance that Bayern Munich and Hoffenheim will find the net in this game. It's hard to conceive that Vincent Kompany's side will draw a blank considering their phenomenal goal rate at home. Harry Kane alone has scored twenty-two times in the league, with team-mates Luis Diaz and Michael Olise having also reached a double figure tally.
Since a 4-0 win away to Heidenheim, six of the past seven Bayern games have involved a BTTS Yes outcome. Only a 2-0 Champions League home win against Union Saint Gilloise has been the outlier, with a Bayern win along with BTTS Yes having been a profitable wager if you'd consistently backed that over the season.
Hoffenheim have scored in each of their past five matches considering that they've been victorious in all of them. Before this, three of their four games featured a BTTS No outcome. The visitors drew a blank away to Borussia Dortmund when being chinned 2-0 and there was also a goalless draw at Stuttgart.
First Goalscorer
Harry Kane has scored twenty-two goals in the Bundesliga this season. He's racked up thirty-eight in all competitions and there aren't too many games where he's failed to find the net. The England captain has only drawn a blank in three of his past dozen encounters, with the former Spurs man on penalty kicks and one of the world's best strikers.
However, Kane is flanked by lots of other dangerous forwards. Luis Diaz has been a big loss for Liverpool this term and the Colombian's strike against Hamburg was his seventeenth for the season. It was also his first goal in the space of six games, with Diaz having previously enjoyed a purple patch.
Michael Olise has struggled to find the net in recent encounters but the former Crystal Palace man bagged two as part of an 8-1 win against Wolfsburg, with a strike also coming away to RB Leipzig in the middle of January. As for Hoffenheim, Andrej Kramaric is a Hoffenheim legend and the veteran forward landed a brace against Union Berlin. This came after a recent hat-trick when playing Borussia Monchengladbach.
