Match Result: Inter v Milan
Inter Milan have been champions of Italy on twenty occasions, with the Nerazzurri leading the way after eleven rounds of fixtures during the 2025/26 season. Cristian Chivu’s side have claimed eight victories thus far, although there have been three defeats along the way. There’s a possibility that there will be some rustiness following the recent international break.
The bookies think that there’s a roughly 55% chance of Inter landing a victory in this game. The home side have won five of their six clashes at the San Siro this season, scoring an impressive seventeen goals in the space of those encounters. They have conceded on four occasions and it’s clear to see why they are favourites to win.
It's also worth noting that two of Inter’s three defeats came at an early stage of the campaign. There was a 2-1 reverse at home to Udinese and then a 4-2 defeat at Juventus. Since then, Inter have won eleven of their twelve games in all competitions. The only blot on the copybook was a 3-1 defeat away to Napoli, with the last four encounters in all competitions ending in a victory.
As for Milan, the only defeat suffered was a 2-1 reverse at home to Cremonese. That came in the second fixture, which means that the Rossoneri have now gone unbeaten in eleven straight matches. Max Allegri will have aspirations of winning the Scudetto with this famous club although four of the past six encounters have ended in a draw.
Some of those results were impressive. For example, there was a goalless draw at Juventus and there was a 1-1 draw at Atalanta. There have also been recent 2-2 draws with Pisa and Parma which suggests that there’s a reasonable chance that this clash could end all square.
Goals Under/Over
There’s nothing to separate the odds when it comes to Over or Under 2.5 Goals. Let’s look at the evidence so far. In eleven Inter games, we have seen Cristian Chivu’s side score twenty-six times and concede on twelve occasions. Thirty-eight goals have been notched and this is a team with a propensity of finding the net.
Five of the last six Inter games in all competitions have resulted in three or more goals being scored. There are plenty of sharp shooters within the Inter ranks and the same applies to a Milan team who know where the goal is. However, the Rossoneri’s goal ratio is somewhat more modest and it’s easy to see a pragmatic approach taken here.
On the road, Milan are unbeaten with two wins and three draws. Eight goals have been scored and only three have been conceded. Therefore, there could be a tight opening to the game before we see how things unfold.
BTTS
The Serie A betting sites think that BTTS Yes has marginally more chance of happening than BTTS No. With twenty-six goals scored by Inter across eleven games, it’s hard to envisage the Nerazzurri drawing a blank in this encounter. Cristian Chivu’s side have found the net in every single encounter, so Milan would have to be the first side to stop them in their tracks.
The majority of Inter victories this term have seen them win and keep a clean sheet. In more recent games, the title favourites have landed 2-1 successes against Verona and Kairat Almaty. However, they were more clinical when beating Lazio 2-0 before the international break and there was also a recent 3-0 success against Fiorentina.
If we can be fairly sure that Inter will score during the derby, what about Milan? The Rossoneri have found the net in their previous five encounters. Before this came a goalless draw against Juventus although Max Allegri’s side were on target with a goal in every match preceding this. Therefore, BTTS Yes seems to be the logical play based on the evidence we have dissected.
First Goalscorer
Hakan Calhanoglu is the joint-top scorer in Serie A so far this season. The Turkish maestro has notched five goals for Inter in the top-flight this term and he converted a penalty for his country against Bulgaria during the international break. The 31-year-old enjoyed a three-game scoring run where he was able to find the net against Union St Gilloise, Napoli and Fiorentina, with the player likely to offer a lively threat here.
Ange-Yoan Bonny was on target in that 2-0 win over Lazio before the international break. That was his fourth Serie A strike of the season, with goals previously coming against Cremonese and Roma. He also notched in the opening match of the season against Torino where the team ran riot in winning 5-0.
Lautaro Martinez will probably be the most popular first scorer option considering that the Argentine is on twelve for the campaign. He signed off for the international break with goals against Kairat Almaty and Lazio, with the forward then finding the net away to Angola in an international friendly. Marcus Thuram is also more than capable when given the chance.
Christian Pulisic and Rafael Leao remain the joint-top scorers in Serie A for Milan as things stand. Both attacking players have managed four goals and the former scored in three consecutive games at the end of September. The American will offer a lively threat on the counter-attack.