Real Madrid v Osasuna Match Result
The bookmakers are expecting a one-sided encounter at the Santiago Bernabeu when it comes to this game. Real Madrid currently trade at around the 1.25 odds mark. This suggests that they have a roughly 80% chance of winning. This isn’t too bad value when you consider their win rate at home last season. They claimed sixteen victories in front of their own fans, drawing once and losing two games.
Xabi Alonso will want his team to play attacking football from the off and it’s hard to see anything other than a home win. However, some punters won’t want to back the single at short odds. There are a couple of decent alternatives. For example, you could consider backing Real to be leading at half-time and full-time instead. This will give you a bigger price and you need the Spanish giants to be ahead by the interval.
It's also worth looking at the correct score market. We have seen Real land consecutive 4-0 wins against Osasuna in the last two meetings. There are handsome odds when it comes to this outcome once again. However, it’s worth noting that the visitors did draw ten times on the road last season. That made them relative draw specialists and they’ll hope to give a better account of themselves here.
Indeed, Osasuna were unbeaten in twelve of their nineteen matches away from home last season. While they might not be able to hold a candle to Real come the end of the match, perhaps some might consider them on the Asian Handicap. This is a great market for being able to capture bigger odds and match your view of a game which is perceived to be a one-sided affair.
Goals Under/Over
This Monday night affair might see Real Madrid cover the 2.5 goal line all by themselves. They are regularly able to find the net three or more times in front of their own fans, scoring forty-five times in nineteen home appearances last term. However, there’s a possibility that the team will be a little rusty in their opening clash against opponents who will put plenty of men behind the ball.
Even so, the 1.57 about Over 2.5 Goals implies a 64% chance of there being three goals or more. There’s 2.50 about Over 3.5 Goals which suggests a 40% possibility that four or more goals will be notched. Considering that Real might be in the mood to put on a show, these outcomes could be worth combining with a home win. Last season, Vinny Junior scored a hat-trick at home to Osasuna and we know that Kylian Mbappe was the division’s top scorer.
BTTS
The bookies think that BTTS No is a more likely outcome and it’s easy to see why. Osasuna did well to finish ninth in the Spanish La Liga last season. They were twelve points clear of the drop zone although they were not able to score many goals on the road. Only fifteen were managed in the space of nineteen encounters. That is a low average ratio and makes it unlikely that they can find the net in this clash.
Last time out, Osasuna were unable to register any shots on target at the Bernabeu. They had just 32% of possession and spent a lot of time defending. It’s hard to see how the situation might change considering that they are still short of firepower. This isn’t a game where they will want to show a lot of attacking ambition considering the threat that is posed by the likes of Mbappe.
We think Real Madrid and BTTS No is a bet worth having. You can get around 1.90 that this happens and you are essentially combining two odds-on chances to get a more favourable price. The stats indicate that there is a strong chance of this happening. We know Real conceded an average of one goal per home game last term but that was skewed by a heavy defeat at the hands of arch-rivals Barcelona.
First Goalscorer
Kylian Mbappe scored a sum total of thirty-one goals last season and the Frenchman will be hungry for more. His goal return was excellent although the 26-year-old has the potential to improve even further and he’ll be targeting a bigger number this time around. He will also be fixated with securing the Ballon d’Or and there’s every chance we will be considering him on the shortlist in twelve months’ time.
Vinicius Junior is a more streaky scorer but there was everything to like about the hat-trick that he was able to plunder in this fixture last season. The Brazilian will be ready to get amongst the goals nice and early. The same applies to Jude Bellingham who was also on the scoresheet against Osasuna last term and he could rate as a good wager to score anytime.
Trent Alexander-Arnold made his long-awaited move from Liverpool last summer to sign for the Spanish side and he will possess lots of threat from a roving full-back position. We know all about his set piece delivery although perhaps it’s worth considering the England man to provide an assist rather than actually find the net.