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Champions League predicted table

Every team ranked by the chance the title odds give it, from 2 bookmakers' prices with the margin taken out, next to where it sits in the table now. It moves with the odds. A reading of the market, not a prediction of ours.

What the odds say

  • Title favourite Barcelona 18% chance, best price 4.50
  • Next in the betting PSG 16% chance
  • Most above the odds Shakhtar Donetsk 11th in the table, 26th in the odds
  • Most below the odds Inter 29th in the table, 10th in the odds

The table by the odds

36 teams
Odds Team Title chance Best price Table
1 Barcelona 18% 4.50 2 ▼1
2 PSG 16% 5.00 1 ▲1
3 Arsenal 12% 6.50 7 ▼4
4 Bayern Munich 11% 7.00 10 ▼6
5 Real Madrid 8.9% 9.00 8 ▼3
6 Man City 7.3% 11.00 17 ▼11
7 Liverpool 3.8% 21.00 5 ▲2
8 Manchester Utd 2.4% 34.00 13 ▼5
9 Atlético Madrid 2.4% 34.00 15 ▼6
10 Inter 2.0% 41.00 29 ▼19
11 Aston Villa 1.6% 51.00 3 ▲8
12 Roma 1.6% 51.00 25 ▼13
13 Betis 1.2% 67.00 9 ▲4
14 Stuttgart 1.0% 81.00 4 ▲10
15 Sporting CP 1.0% 81.00 6 ▲9
16 Como 1.0% 81.00 12 ▲4
17 Villarreal 1.0% 81.00 14 ▲3
18 Dortmund 1.0% 81.00 18
19 RB Leipzig 0.8% 101.00 21 ▼2
20 Porto 0.8% 101.00 30 ▼10
21 Napoli 0.8% 101.00 32 ▼11
22 Fenerbahce 0.5% 151.00 28 ▼6
23 Lille 0.5% 151.00 34 ▼11
24 Lens 0.4% 201.00 19 ▲5
25 Galatasaray 0.4% 201.00 35 ▼10
26 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.3% 251.00 11 ▲15
27 Club Brugge 0.3% 251.00 16 ▲11
28 AEK Athens 0.3% 251.00 20 ▲8
29 Feyenoord 0.3% 251.00 23 ▲6
30 Bodø/Glimt 0.3% 251.00 24 ▲6
31 PSV Eindhoven 0.3% 251.00 26 ▲5
32 Viking 0.2% 501.00 27 ▲5
33 Slavia Praha 0.1% 751.00 31 ▲2
34 Sabah Masazir - - 22 ▲12
35 Linz - - 33 ▲2
36 Slovan Bratislava - - 36

"Odds" is the place by title chance: each team's price to win the Champions League averaged across the bookmakers we compare, turned into a chance and scaled so the chances add up to 100%. "Best price" is the longest of those prices. ▲ a team is higher in the table than the odds rank it, ▼ lower. Odds from the bookmakers we compare, updated through the day.

Champions League predicted table FAQ

Who do the bookies predict to win the Champions League?
Barcelona, with a 17.8% chance from the outright odds once the bookmakers' margin is taken out, ahead of PSG (16%) and Arsenal (12.3%). The odds move with every result, so this table changes through the season.
Which Champions League team is doing better than the odds expect?
Shakhtar Donetsk sit 11th in the table, 15 places above the 26th the title odds rank them. At the other end, Inter are 29th, 19 places below their 10th in the odds.
How is the predicted table worked out?
Each team's price to win the Champions League is averaged across the 2 bookmakers we compare, turned into a chance and scaled so all the chances add up to 100%, which takes the bookmakers' margin out. Teams are ranked by that chance; below a 1% title chance the prices say little, so those teams are ranked by the relegation odds where there are some. It is a reading of the market, not our prediction.