PSG v Chelsea Match Result
Paris Saint-Germain are trading at around the 1.60 mark. This implies a roughly 60% chance of success in ninety minutes. We believe that the European champions have a higher probability of winning this game in normal time. They destroyed Real Madrid in a one-sided semi-final where Los Merengues couldn’t live with the intensity of their opponents and the game was quickly over.
Let’s face facts. PSG are the best team in the world. They were better than any other team in the Champions League last term. There was a 5-0 triumph against Inter in the final although there had previously been two-legged victories over Arsenal, Aston Villa and Liverpool. The team is dripping with world-class talent although Luis Enrique has managed to create a dangerous machine.
Fabian Ruiz was the man at the double against Real Madrid, with Ousmane Dembele cementing his Ballon d’Or credentials with a goal and it was Goncalo Ramos who was able to add some gloss to the scoreline. Previously to this, PSG were able to beat Bayern Munich with two late goals and that came after a 4-0 victory against Inter Miami.
Do Chelsea stand any chance against this impressive side? They are big outsiders when it comes to the match result, with the London team priced at around the 5.00 mark. That suggests that they have a 20% probability of landing a success, with the Blues having beaten a couple of Brazilian sides en route to the final.
Enzo Maresca’s side were able to overcome Fluminense in the semi-final before previously getting the better of Palmeiras. They defeated Benfica at the last sixteen stage of the competition although that victory came in extra-time. Chelsea have a pretty strong defence but this is a big test for a team who were participating in the UEFA Conference League last term.
Goals Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a similar price to a Paris Saint-Germain victory. It is clear that the match favourites are capable of covering the line themselves. They scored three goals within the space of twenty-four minutes against Real Madrid and it was their third 4-0 success at the Club World Cup. They have a huge array of attacking weapons and it’s hard to see them being nullified.
Chelsea will look at how Bayern Munich managed to keep PSG at arm’s length for the majority of their quarter final and look to execute a similar game plan. Falling behind early against this team is clearly a non-negotiable. Two of Chelsea’s three knockout matches have seen Under 2.5 Goals, with a 1-1 draw against Benfica coming before a 2-1 win over Palmeiras.
The semi-final victory against Fluminense was achieved with a 2-0 victorious scoreline. However, we do think that Over 2.5 Goals could be worth considering if you are putting together a Club World Cup final Bet Builder.
BTTS
The bookies think there’s a roughly 60% chance that both teams will find the net here. Paris Saint-Germain have scored ten goals in three knockout games. It’s very likely that the European champions will find the net in this game. The bigger question is whether Chelsea are able to score against a team who have kept clean sheets in all three encounters en route to the final.
Chelsea have bolstered their attacking weaponry by adding Joao Pedro to the ranks. The forward arrived from Brighton and hit the ground running with a brace against Fluminense. He will surely be selected ahead of Nicolas Jackson again, with Pedro Neto and Christopher Nkunku likely to flank the centre forward in search of goals.
However, this is a special PSG team who were able to keep a clean sheet against Real Madrid despite missing the suspended Willian Pancho. He is likely to come back into the team for Lucas Beraldo and the rest of the team picks itself. It is highly questionable whether Chelsea will fashion many chances against such a formidable side. We think betting a PSG win along with BTTS No could be the way forward.
First Goalscorer
Ousmane Dembele looks well on the way to landing the Ballon d’Or prize and the Frenchman could be the one to break the deadlock in this game. He came off the bench to score against Bayern Munich and was also on target against Real Madrid. This is a player who top scored in Ligue 1 last term and can operate either in a central role or from a wide position.
Desire Doue was the player that broke the deadlock in the quarter final and he’s likely to get the nod in this game. Fabian Ruiz was at the double against Real and it could be worth considering him along with Joao Neves considering that they are often recipients of the high press that is operated by the French side.
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is also the man for the big occasion and the Georgian could offer a threat from out wide, with Chelsea hoping that Joao Pedro can follow up his two-goal salvo in the semi-final with another goal here. Cole Palmer will also look to step up to the mark and aim to make an impression for the outsiders.