Milan v Atalanta Match Result
At the beginning of the season, AC Milan were among the favourites to challenge for the Scudetto. However, they now find themselves twenty points behind Inter after thirty-two games played. The Rossoneri have only been able to land fourteen wins this term, with nine draws and nine defeats meaning that the side sit ninth in the standings.
At home, they have a lower than 50% win rate, with seven successes coming in sixteen encounters. However, they recently produced a flowing performance to claim a 4-0 success away to Udinese. A couple of late first-half goals took the game away from their opponents and it now means that Milan are three games unbeaten.
Previously to the win came a 2-2 draw against Fiorentina where the Rossoneri came from two goals down. There was previously a 1-1 scoreline in the Coppa Italia against Inter, with that coming after a narrow 2-1 defeat away to Napoli. However, there were previously wins against Lecce and Como.
Atalanta are operating at a slightly bigger price and recent form hasn’t been encouraging. A few weeks ago, the visitors might have been favourites in the match betting market. However, three consecutive defeats occurred against Inter, Fiorentina and Lazio. That was before a 2-0 victory against Bologna.
Atalanta have shown a dangerous side on the road recently. There was a stunning 5-0 success at Empoli and an even better 4-0 triumph at Juventus. However, they somehow failed to have any shots on target away to Fiorentina and they were outshot in that recent victory against Bologna which should be taken into consideration.
The draw is clearly a likely outcome. Milan have drawn as many home matches as they have landed a victory. While Atalanta are in the process of winning on the road, a point would keep them ticking over as far as a top four spot is concerned along with a Champions League spot.
Goals Under/Over
Is Over 2.5 Goals a good bet? The implied probability for those odds is 60% and there were three goals scored in the reverse fixture. A late Ademola Lookman goal sealed the points for Atalanta as part of a 2-1 win, with Charles De Ketelaere giving La Dea the lead before Alvaro Morata scored a first-half equaliser. There were ten shots on target registered throughout the ninety minutes.
There have been a sum total of thirty-nine goals scored in sixteen Milan home matches, while the Atalanta away games have featured plenty of goals. Forty-five goals have been notched in sixteen road trips for La Dea, with an average of nearly three. It’s clear that the visiting team are capable of covering the 2.5 goals line all by themselves as can be seen from recent away clashes.
BTTS
Both teams finding the net is regarded as a far more likely possibility than Over 2.5 Goals according to the Serie A betting sites. The bookies have got this as a 65% probability although Atalanta did fail to find the net in a recent clash at Fiorentina. They also failed to have a shot on target in that particular match.
La Dea also drew a blank at home to Lazio recently and there were only two shots on target in that match. It’s also worth noting that BTTS No has happened in the previous nine games featuring Atalanta and perhaps this selection is therefore the value. However, the opposite can be said when it comes to recent Milan encounters.
Before that 4-0 victory away to Udinese, with nine consecutive games in all competitions seeing BTTS Yes as the outcome. The Rossoneri have found the net in every Serie A game since a clash against Juventus in January, with the team generally able to create and score chances throughout an encounter. The fact that they’ve scored six goals in their last two matches suggests they will find the scoresheet here.
First Goalscorer
Mateo Retegui has scored twenty-eight goals for Atalanta in all competitions this term. It’s a real breakthrough season for the twenty-five-year-old who recently notched against Bologna. It makes the player the leading Serie A scorer this term by a considerable distance, with Ademola Lookman having scored against Milan in the reverse fixture and he has eighteen on the board in all competitions.
Marten de Roon could be backed at a bigger price, with Milan not having a particular prolific scorer this season. However, Tijjani Reijnders has seventeen in all competitions, with the latest goal coming away to Udinese. He also scored for the Netherlands against Spain and will offer a threat in an attacking midfield position.
It can be worthwhile to consider the Anytime Scorer market and look to include the picks in a Serie A Bet Builder. Theo Hernandez is an attacking full-back who was on the scoresheet at Udinese, with Luka Jovic also worth considering. The Serbian has recently returned from injury to find the net against Napoli and Fiorentina.