Juventus v Milan Match Result
Juventus are betting favourites to beat Milan this weekend, although it’s hard to be too confident about their chances. There have only been three wins in ten home matches at the Juventus Stadium this term, with Thiago Motta’s side struggling to see off opponents and it’s clear that the draw is the best value on the Full-Time Result market.
The season actually began well for the Bianconeri who claimed consecutive 3-0 victories over Como and Venezia, although this was then followed by three straight goalless draws which set the tone for the campaign. More recently, the Turin side were held to a 2-2 draw by Fiorentina before clashing with Milan in the Super Cup.
This match took place on 5 January, with Kenan Yildiz scoring the opening goal before Milan were able to turn the tie on its head. Since then, Juventus have claimed 1-1 draws away to Torino and Atalanta, with the latter game seeing them register nine shots on target against an opponent who are riding high.Milan have won four and drawn two of their nine away matches in Serie A this term, with the Rossoneri in good form coming into this encounter. This includes a 2-1 victory away to Juventus in the Super Cup, so they have a blueprint when it comes to engineering another win on the road against the same opponents.
Indeed, it has been four straight away wins for Sérgio Conceição’s side and they have been against some top quality opponents. There was a 1-0 victory away to Verona before a 2-1 success at Juventus in the Super Cup before a 3-2 triumph against Inter. There was more recently a 2-1 success at Como where the team were able to come from behind.
Goals Under/Over
There were three goals scored in a recent clash between Juventus and Milan, although Over 2.5 Goals is still trading at odds-against when it comes to this match. Each side only managed a modest three shots on target and perhaps we’ll get a lower goal count between two sides who are aiming to qualify for next season’s Champions League.
While three of Milan’s previous four games have featured Over 2.5 Goals, the preceding three matches saw Under 2.5 Goals happen. There have been twenty-seven goals scored in the nine Milan away games which suggests that Overs could be worth backing, although Juve home matches don’t yield a huge amount.
There has been an average of 2.4 goals per home match this term for the Turin side and we can’t escape the prospect of a 1-1 scoreline in keeping with the way that Juventus games have been unfolding this term.
BTTS
BTTS Yes is the outsider here, with the bookmakers anticipating that at least one team will fail to find the net. However, the previous five Juventus matches have involved both teams scoring, with consecutive 1-1 scorelines occurring away to Torino and Atalanta. This came after a 2-1 victory at Monza, a 2-2 draw against Fiorentina and a 2-1 Super Cup home defeat against Milan.
The flip side is that Juventus have only scored one goal in their previous three clashes. Kenan Yildiz has been able to notch in two of those encounters, with Juve’s main problem being that they don’t have a prolific scorer in their ranks this term, something which has put them at a disadvantage.
Milan suffer from the same problem although the goals have been flowing a bit more readily recently. Their 2-1 victory at Como saw them also register six shots on target and that came after another high XG situation against Cagliari where there were eleven shots on target.
We think that both sides will be eager to go for the victory and therefore we might see a more open contest than the odds suggest. It would certainly be our preference to go for BTTS Yes here.
First Goalscorer
Kenan Yildiz is clearly a star turn for Juventus and the Turk has scored a couple of recent goals for the Turin side. He scored the opening goal in the Super Cup encounter against Milan before netting away to Torino in a Serie A encounter. Previously to this, it had been over two months before he was able to score.
It's certainly been tough going for Teun Koopmeiners since his £46 million arrival from Atalanta last summer, with the Dutchman’s first goal coming against Bologna in early December and he was also able to find the net against Cagliari as part of a 4-0 scoreline although he has the potential to kick on and start racking up the goals.
Milan might pin their hopes of Rafael Leao when it comes to scoring and the Portuguese forward was able to score away at Como recently, with the winger having netted seven times this term. There’s been a similar number of goals from Alvaro Morata, while Theo Hernandez is a bigger price and he’s been able to find the net a couple of times recently.