Juventus v Milan Match Result
Juventus are currently trading at around the 2.62 mark on the 1x2 market. Milan are available at 2.80 which makes them slight outsiders. The draw is 3.20 which could well be the value proposition. All of the above odds outline that the bookies think the visitors are the slightly better team. However, Juve’s home advantage makes them the slight favourites.
Igor Tudor’s side began the campaign with three straight wins. Although Juventus remain unbeaten, it has now been four successive draws in all competitions. They had a crazy 4-4 draw with Borussia Dortmund before 1-1 scorelines against Verona and Atalanta. There was then a 2-2 draw at Villarreal in the Champions League.
The bottom line is that Juve are unbeaten and they did beat Inter 4-3 on 13 September in what was an entertaining clash. The team showed character to storm back at the end of the game to seal a maximum haul, with the Old Lady coming desperately close to winning at Villarreal in the week before conceding a late equaliser.
Milan don’t have the distraction of European football this season which might give the Rossoneri an edge. Max Allegri has been a phenomenally successful manager with Juventus and the Italian is now up against his former club aiming to engineer a positive outcome. Since losing at home to Cremonense, there have been five straight wins in all competitions.
There have been victories away to Lecce and Udinese, with home wins coming against Bologna, Lecce and Napoli. They’re passing all assignments with flying colours, having managed to land a maximum haul against the Italian champions despite seeing Pervis Estupinan sent off in the 57th minute of the clash. Can they secure a sixth consecutive win and really stake their title claim?
Goals Under/Over
Despite some high-scoring encounters involving Juventus this season, Over 2.5 Goals is trading at odds-against. If you take away those two high-scoring games in the Champions League, four of the five Serie A clashes involving the Turin side have featured two goals or less. It’s only that 4-3 win over Inter which has been the outlier so far.
As for Milan, their previous three matches have all gone over the 2.5 goal line. There was a 3-0 success at Udinese where there were six shots on target compared to four from their opponents. We saw the Rossoneri slay Lecce in the Coppa Italia when triumphing 3-0 but the inferior quality of the opposition wasn’t helped by an early red card for them.
We think that a low-scoring draw could be on the cards here. A draw would be a decent outcome for each of the teams going into the international break. A desire not to lose the game could lead to a more defensive outcome.
BTTS
The previous recent fixtures between Juventus and Milan have seen BTTS No become a dominant feature. In seven of the previous eight encounters between these Serie A rivals, we have seen at least one side to find the net. The only outlier was the 2-1 victory for Milan in the Super Cup last term, although the league matches have only been going one way.
Last term, Juventus got the job done in Turin when winning 2-0 thanks to two second-half strikes in January. This came after a goalless draw at the San Siro, with a measly combined three shots on target from the sides. However, the BTTS Yes price is trading shorter than BTTS No and that might come as a surprise.
We would certainly be leaning towards the latter based on historical evidence. Perhaps the bookies will point to the fact that both teams are scoring regularly. In the past six Juventus games, there has been a BTTS outcome and that has includes two 1-1 draws along with some higher-scoring affairs. However, five of Milan’s seven games have been BTTS No and we’re sticking to our guns on this one.
First Goalscorer
Christian Pulisic is currently top of the scoring charts and the American is the first player to consider to break the deadlock. After bagging goals against Bari and Lecce earlier in the campaign, the forward has really hit his stride in recent encounters. The 27-year-old bagged a brace away to Udinese before finding the scoresheet against Lecce and Napoli.
Santiago Gimenez seems to be the preferred centre forward and the Mexican international was off the mark for Milan when scoring in the Coppa Italia. However, he’s yet to score in Serie A this term. Christopher Nkunku’s big money move to RB Leipzig didn’t work out too well although the forward is still a class act and perhaps he can make his mark against Juve.
The Turin team have been scoring plenty in all competitions and Dusan Vlahovic has bagged four goals already this season. The Serbian has found the net against Parma and Genoa towards the start of the campaign. He has since scored a brace of goals against Borussia Dortmund and could well break the deadlock here.