Atletico Madrid v Barcelona Match Result
There’s a roughly 45% chance of a Barcelona victory at the Metropolitano on Sunday. However, the bookies think that Hansi Flick’s side are 62% likely to actually claim the Spanish title this term. A win this weekend would really boost the team’s hopes of being crowned champions, with the Catalan side having trailed Real Madrid by ten points last term although they’re in a position to strike now.
Barca haven’t been foot perfect on the road this term considering that they’ve only won nine of their fourteen away clashes this term. They come into the clash after Tuesday’s encounter against Benfica, with the Catalan side having won 1-0 in Portugal which means that they’re likely to have come through that last sixteen tie.
That game came after a 4-0 win against Sociedad, with that preceded by a crazy 4-4 draw with Atletico Madrid in the Copa del Rey. It was a game where Atleti took a two-goal lead before Barca stormed back to lead 4-2 although there was a sting in the tale from the visitors on that occasion.
Putting it quite simply, Atletico Madrid have not lost at home this term and that’s something to bear in mind before going ahead and opposing them. Ten wins and four draws have come in front of their own supporters, with a tight defence ensuring that they certainly stand a chance of getting something from this encounter.
The draw could also come into the reckoning. Simeone will want to nullify opposition who carry a huge attacking threat and we might well see the game end all square. This also covers the 1-1 and 2-2 scorelines, with that outcome offering Real Madrid some optimism.
Goals Under/Over
While the Atletico Madrid prides itself on having a strong defence, the La Liga betting sites do indicate that Over 2.5 Goals is likely to happen. They attribute a 64% chance that we’ll see three or more scored at the Metropolitano, with Atleti having scored twenty-five goals in the space of fourteen home games and they might need to score twice in order to get a positive result.
After all, the visitors were able to score thirty-eight goals in the space of their first fourteen clashes, with that being an average of nearly three and they have regularly been able to flex their attacking muscle in order to get positive results. However, they were able to land a 1-0 win at Benfica in the Champions League after previously playing out a crazy 5-4 victory in the same fixture during the group stage.
BTTS
There’s a feeling that both teams will score in this game. Atletico Madrid might need to force the issue more than usual considering that they currently trail Barcelona by a point having played a game more. It’s pretty much a must-win clash considering that Diego Simeone’s side have a predictably inferior goal difference to Barca, with this probably leading to a BTTS Yes outcome.
Barcelona’s goal return certainly strengthens their argument that they will find the net in this encounter, with that 4-4 draw in the Copa del Rey also illustrating that the teams can end up in a dogfight, although Atletico might be confident considering that they were able to leave the Nou Camp with a 2-1 victory back in December.
Goals from Rodrigo De Paul and Alexander Sorloth helped Atleti produce a comeback and they generated four shots on target away to the Catalan side. It was no mean feat to get a positive result and there’s going to be a determination to find a way to breach the defence, even if this is a big physical requirement considering that the Real Madrid match will have been played until late into Wednesday night.
First Goalscorer
Alexander Sorloth scored that winner at the Nou Camp in the reverse fixture, with the Norwegian not quite on the same level as compatriot Erling Haaland, although he has registered fourteen goals this term. The forward did find the net in that Copa del Rey clash and will hope to get the nod from Diego Simeone, with Antoine Griezmann also expected to be involved.
The Frenchman did have a spell with Barcelona and will be highly motivated to drag his team into contention for this clash, with the forward having sixteen on the board and he also got on the scoresheet in that Copa del Rey encounter. However, the home side will be working out how to nullify a dangerous Polish striker.
Robert Lewandowski has twenty-one goals this term and he doesn’t go too many games without finding the net. During 2025, the player hasn’t gone more than one match without scoring and that’s an impressive stat for the 36-year-old who will be looking to spearhead a title charge and he will be a handful for that impressive Atleti defence.