Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Match Result
According to the La Liga football betting sites, there’s roughly a 57% chance of Real Madrid landing a victory on Saturday evening when they host Atletico Madrid. Los Merengues have won nine of their ten clashes at the Santiago Bernabeu this season, with Carlo Ancelotti’s team averaging 2.8 goals per home clash and you can see why their probability of winning is so high.
However, some won’t regard Real as bankers when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. They face an Atletico side who have avoided defeat in eight of their ten away clashes, with just two defeats being suffered. Only seven goals have been conceded by Diego Simeone’s side on the road and the draw could be a runner in this encounter.
Atleti have previously enjoyed fifteen consecutive victories which stretched between 31 October and 15 January, with that run ending after a 1-0 defeat at Leganes which came as a surprise. However, there have been some fetching wins in the Champions League including a 2-1 success against Bayer Leverkusen and a 4-1 triumph away to Red Bull Salzburg.
Real Madrid showed their Achilles heel when losing 1-0 away to Espanyol which will give their opponents hope. Despite being huge favourites to win this clash last weekend, the hosts were able to score a late winner through Carlos Romero and benefit from a victory despite having less than 25% possession.
However, Ancelotti’s men were previously able to rack up the goals and that included twenty in the previous five encounters, with the teams having played out a 1-1 draw when they met at the end of September. On that occasion, a late equaliser from Angel Correa helped Atleti to a priceless point.
Goals Under/Over
The Spanish La Liga betting sites anticipate that more than two goals will be scored in this encounter. The Over 2.5 price is trading at a shade of odds-on, with Real Madrid clearly boasting the sort of scoring power that can cover the line by themselves. However, the fact that this is such a big game means that we could see a cagier encounter.
In addition, the teams played out a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture and it was nearly a 1-0 success for Real before that late equaliser. Both teams had four shots on target in that encounter. However, before that 1-0 defeat by Espanyol, the previous fifteen games involving Real Madrid in all competitions had featured three or more goals.
As for Atletico, their miserly defence means that the goal count has been lower in their games. There was a more modest 2-0 win against Mallorca recently and that came after a 4-1 success at Red Bull Salzburg, with that coming after a 1-1 draw against Villarreal.
BTTS
Both teams to score is a likely outcome according to the bookmakers. However, before Real Madrid’s Copa del Rey encounter against Leganes, their three previous encounters in all competitions had ended with a BTTS No outcome. Therefore, the trend seems to suggest that this selection could provide the value and that’s especially considering Atletico’s defensive ability.
The title is definitely in the balance right now, while Barcelona are sitting in a good position considering that the Catalan side are just four points off the pace. Therefore, both sides might operate on the basis that they can ill-afford to lose the game and it’s not as though Atletico Madrid are full of goals on the road.
They have only scored fourteen times in ten encounters away from home and we can see them being nullified here. However, Atleti did manage to score four goals away to Salzburg in the Champions League and that came after a previous four goal haul away to Elche in the Copa del Rey.
It’s worth noting that the previous eight Madrid derbies have all seen a BTTS Yes outcome. The past two encounters have seen the game end in a 1-1 draw and that came after Atletico Madrid win 4-2 in a Copa del Rey clash last season. There was also a 5-3 Super Cup win for Real in the preceding game.
First Goalscorer
Kylian Mbappe has scored fifteen goals in La Liga this season and the Frenchman heads the First Goalscorer betting market. After scoring eight goals in the space of five games, the Ballon d’Or contender has drawn two blanks against Brest and Espanyol, although surely he will be back on the scoresheet sooner rather than later.
It was Rodrygo at the double against Brest and the Spaniard has scored ten goals in his previous eleven appearances, with this possibly being the best first goalscorer selection. It’s clear that he is benefitting from a run of games in the team, with a brace being bagged against Red Bull Salzburg in the Champions League.
Jude Bellingham is capable of finding the net in the big encounters and he was able to score in five consecutive encounters in December, with Antoine Griezmann potentially the player offering the biggest threat for the visitors. The Frenchman has fifteen goals on the board and carries a clear attacking presence, with three goals scored in his previous two clashes.