Atlético Madrid v Real Madrid Match Result
According to the La Liga betting sites, there’s only a 40% chance that Real Madrid will land a victory at the Wanda Metropolitano. They might have claimed a spate of victories this term domestically although this is one of the toughest away games of the season. Is this where Los Merengues’ 100% start to the campaign comes to an end or where they continue to cement their title credentials?
On the road this term, there have been victories away to Real Oviedo and Sociedad. There will have been a Tuesday evening trip to Levante to encounter before Xabi Alonso’s side make the short trip across the city. If that wasn’t enough, Real Madrid will be considering a trip to Kairat Almaty the following Tuesday in the Champions League.
So this is essentially the second of three consecutive away clashes for a Real side who did not win either of their games at the Wanda Metropolitano last term. When the sides clashed in September, a late Angel Correa equaliser gave Diego Simeone’s side a point and there was then a 1-0 Atleti win in the Champions League before Real eventually came through on penalties after the two-legged tie.
Atletico have not been foot perfect this season. They have just six points from five games at the time of writing. Indeed, the 2-0 victory over Villarreal in mid-September is the only triumph in six games, with this clash coming directly after a home tie against Rayo Vallecano.
Simeone’s side will hope to draw on home comforts this week, with Atletico around 35% likely to claim a victory in this match. We shouldn’t forget that they only lost once at home last season, racking up fourteen victories and four draws. They also scored forty-two goals and won’t be too defensive against their high-flying opponents.
Goals Under/Over
The bookies feel as though Over 2.5 Goals is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 Goals. We’re talking around a 60% chance that we see the ball hit the net at least three times. Four of six Real Madrid games have featured three or more goals this term, with that mainly being down to the fact that Los Merengues are usually good for a couple themselves.
However, only two of Atletico’s six games have involved Over 2.5 Goals. After a 2-1 defeat at Espanyol in their opening game, all domestic clashes have featured two goals or less. The 3-2 reverse at Anfield is the only outlier and that involved the concession of a couple of early goals which mean that the original gameplan went out of the window.
Ill-discipline let Atletic down away to Mallorca when Alexander Sorloth was sent off and even a Conor Gallagher opener wasn’t enough to get over the line, with the team registering seven shots on target.
BTTS
There’s around a 63% chance of both teams finding the net in this Madrid derby. Atletico Madrid have been involved in lots of BTTS Yes encounters thus far. Aside from a 2-0 victory over Villarreal every other game has seen both sides find the net. There’s also the fact that Simeone’s side have scored in each of their matches and won’t be setting up ultra-defensively against their opponents.
We know that Real Madrid are full of goals. They are averaging two per game right now and half of the tally have been plundered by the brilliant Kylian Mbappe. On the flip side, there have only been two goals conceded by Xabi Alonso’s side. The fact that Los Merengues have only conceded twice in La Liga does bring BTTS No into consideration.
As you might expect, Real have scored in all their games to date including a 2-1 Champions League success against Marseille. On the road at Sociedad, the home team were able to score on 13 September, with four shots on target being registered along with Mikel Oyarzabal converting from the penalty spot.
First Goalscorer
There’s no disputing that Kylian Mbappe is the most likely player to score in the Madrid derby. Aside from Real’s 2-1 victory against Mallorca, the Frenchman has found the net in every game that he has played. He has also bagged a couple of braces, with the superstar notching two away to Real Oviedo and the same thing happened in a Champions League encounter against Marseille.
Arda Guler might also be given a chance to operate and the Turkish forward was able to find the net against Mallorca, with a goal being scored at Real Sociedad and this could be a real breakthrough season for the 20-year-old. Vinny Junior is another player with a couple of goals on the board, although the Brazilian is not super reliable when it comes to finding the net.
It was Conor Gallagher who opened the scoring for Atletico Madrid away to Mallorca in the most recent road trip, with the Englishman having scored against Real Madrid in the Champions League last term. The former Chelsea player will look to get into scoring positions, with Marcos Llorente also a real goal-getter and there was plenty to like about the brace that was bagged away at Anfield to nearly rescue a point.