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UK Elections Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds

Potential criminality has been found in Downing Street, with a number of lockdown breaches being investigated by the Metropolitan Police. It appears as though it's a question of "when" and not "if" Boris Johnson will step down as Prime Minister and it has got to the stage where the Conservative Party are now likely to oust their leader.

Johnson is entering a perilous few days and weeks, with more Tory MP's writing letters to the 22 Committee in the hope that this triggers a vote of no confidence. The bookmakers now think the game could be up for the current Prime Minister and history is unlikely to be kind to someone who has been regarded as a disastrous recruitment in UK politics.

Outright odds - best price highlighted

The shortest price is James Cleverly at 5.00 with Bet365, a 17% chance once the bookmakers' margin is taken out. Next in the betting: Katie Lam at 7.00 and Boris Johnson at 10.00. 29 selections priced by 1 bookmaker.

James Cleverly 17% chance
5.00
Andrew Griffith 2.5% chance
34.00
Victoria Atkins 1.4% chance
61.00
Nick Timothy
Mike Wood
Robert Jenrick
Kevin Hollinrake
Alan Mak
Jacob Rees-Mogg
James Cartlidge
Oliver Dowden
Steve Barclay
Kieran Mullan
John Glen
John Lamont
Alec Shelbrooke
Ben Obese-Jecty
Aphra Brandreth
Ashley Fox
Andrew Murrison
Andrew Rosindell
Andrew Snowden
Alberto Costa
Alicia Kearns
Alison Griffiths
Andrew Bowie
David Mundell
David Reed
David Simmonds
Christopher Chope
Charlie Dewhirst
Blake Stephenson
Bob Blackman
Bradley Thomas
Caroline Dinenage
Caroline Johnson
Esther McVey
Gagan Mohindra
Gareth Bacon
Gareth Davies
George Freeman
Graham Stuart
Greg Smith
Greg Stafford
Harriet Cross
Harriett Baldwin
Helen Grant
Geoffrey Clifton-Brown
James Wild
John Hayes
Jeremy Wright
Jerome Mayhew
Jesse Norman
Joe Robertson
John Cooper
Mark Garnier
Louie French
Luke Evans
Lewis Cocking
Kit Malthouse
Joy Morrissey
Julia Lopez
Julian Lewis
Julian Smith
Karen Bradley
Mark Pritchard
Martin Vickers
Matt Vickers
Mims Davies
Neil Hudson
Neil O'Brien
Neil Shastri-Hurst
Patrick Spencer
Paul Holmes
Peter Bedford
Peter Fortune
Nigel Huddleston
Nus Ghani
Robbie Moore
Rebecca Harris
Rebecca Paul
Rebecca Smith
Richard Fuller
Stuart Anderson
Stuart Andrew
Saqib Bhatti
Sarah Bool
Shivani Raja
Simon Hoare
Wendy Morton
Roger Gale
Helen Whately
Caroline Nokes
Damian Hinds
Desmond Swayne
Andrew Mitchell
Suella Braverman
Bernard Jenkin
Edward Leigh
Geoffrey Cox
John Whittingdale
Gavin Williamson
Mark Francois
Liz Truss

How the odds have moved

SelectionFirst best priceBest price nowMoveDetails
James Cleverly 5.00 Bet365, Fri 25 Sep 5.00 Bet365 No change
Katie Lam 7.00 Bet365, Fri 25 Sep 7.00 Bet365 No change
Boris Johnson 10.00 Bet365, Fri 25 Sep 10.00 Bet365 No change
Nigel Farage 13.00 Bet365, Fri 25 Sep 13.00 Bet365 No change
Clare Coutinho 15.00 Bet365, Fri 25 Sep 15.00 Bet365 No change
Rupert Lowe 17.00 Bet365, Fri 25 Sep 17.00 Bet365 No change

No price moves yet since we started tracking this market on Fri 25 Sep.

Best prices across the bookmakers we compare, captured every few minutes since Fri 25 Sep. Price moves show what bookmakers did, not what will happen.

Best price per selection highlighted. Odds update frequently and may differ at the bookmaker. 18+ | #ad | BeGambleAware.org | T&Cs apply.

Who Are the Betting Favourites to Be Next Conservative Party Leader?

Rishi Sunak is the current Chancellor of the Exchequer and the bookies think that this millionaire is most likely to replace Johnson should there be a Conservative Party Leader vote. Sunak is regarded as having performed a strong job as Chancellor and he oversaw a lot of furlough schemes when the United Kingdom went into lockdown.

Sunak was slow in coming forward to support Johnson following the revelations that the lockdown had been breached by the Prime Minister, with the Chancellor also not present in the House of Parliament during PM Questions where the former Mayor of London was grilled by a strong Labour Party opposition.

Sunak has clearly not publicly declared that he wants the Prime Minister job and a lot depends on the 41-year-old being able to get mass support from backbenchers who will be potentially floating voters when it comes to assessing the right person to lead the country forward.

Could Liz Truss Become the Next Tory Party Leader?

Liz Truss is someone who could throw her hat into the ring should Boris Johnson step aside and it will be interesting to see whether the Foreign Secretary can become the third female to land the Prime Minister job, following in the footsteps of Margaret Thatcher and Theresa May. There will be some that feel that she offers a fresh break from the current PM who is doing an atrocious job.

Truss has been a member of parliament since the 2010 General Election and his risen through the ranks in a fairly short space of time. She was successful in helping the Brexit bill be passed through the Commons although perhaps she might lack the capability to unite a fractured party.

What Are the General Election Betting Odds?

The latest political betting odds suggest that the next General Election could be a wide open betting heat. The next UK General Election betting odds relate to the big vote that is likely to take place in 2024, with the Conservative Majority trading at 7/4 and it's possible that we might see a Conservative Minority, especially with the polls showing that the Tories are well down when it comes to popular opinion.

A Conservative Minority is available at betting odds of 5/2, although the odds on a Labour minority has shortened and could be the value bet at 100/30, while a Labour majority is now backable at 4/1. The latest UK politics odds illustrate that it could be a close-run thing between the Tories and Labour in terms of the most seats that are racked up during the process.

UK Elections Next Conservative Leader FAQ

Who is the favourite in the UK Elections Next Conservative Leader betting?
The shortest price is James Cleverly at 5.00 with Bet365, a 17% chance once the bookmakers' margin is taken out. Next in the betting: Katie Lam at 7.00 and Boris Johnson at 10.00. 29 selections priced by 1 bookmaker.