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Six Nations predicted table

Every team ranked by the chance the title odds give it, from 2 bookmakers' prices with the margin taken out, next to where it sits in the table now. It moves with the odds. A reading of the market, not a prediction of ours.

What the odds say

  • Title favourite France 37% chance, best price 2.40
  • Next in the betting Ireland 26% chance
  • Most above the odds Scotland 3rd in the table, 4th in the odds
  • Most below the odds England 5th in the table, 3rd in the odds

The table by the odds

6 teams
Odds Team Title chance Best price Table
1 France 37% 2.40 1
2 Ireland 26% 3.50 2
3 England 22% 4.00 5 ▼2
4 Scotland 12% 7.50 3 ▲1
5 Italy 1.3% 67.00 4 ▲1
6 Wales 0.9% 101.00 6

"Odds" is the place by title chance: each team's price to win the Six Nations averaged across the bookmakers we compare, turned into a chance and scaled so the chances add up to 100%. "Best price" is the longest of those prices. ▲ a team is higher in the table than the odds rank it, ▼ lower. Odds from the bookmakers we compare, updated through the day.

Six Nations predicted table FAQ

Who do the bookies predict to win the Six Nations?
France, with a 37.5% chance from the outright odds once the bookmakers' margin is taken out, ahead of Ireland (26%) and England (22.4%). The odds move with every result, so this table changes through the season.
Which Six Nations team is doing better than the odds expect?
Scotland sit 3rd in the table, 1 place above the 4th the title odds rank them. At the other end, England are 5th, 2 places below their 3rd in the odds.
How is the predicted table worked out?
Each team's price to win the Six Nations is averaged across the 2 bookmakers we compare, turned into a chance and scaled so all the chances add up to 100%, which takes the bookmakers' margin out. Teams are ranked by that chance; below a 1% title chance the prices say little, so those teams are ranked by the relegation odds where there are some. It is a reading of the market, not our prediction.