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Liverpool v Man City Betting Odds

Liverpool W D W D D
Man City W W W W W

Full time Liverpool 0-3 Man City HT 0-0

Liverpool v Man City was played on 11 October 2026. Below is how the market closed: the last price before the start at each bookmaker. Man City opened at 2.60 and closed at 2.00, the best price at kickoff.

Automatically generated from our odds data

Liverpool will feel aggrieved that City have been found guilty of rule-breaking considering that the Reds often finished second behind Pep Guardiola's champions. They'll look to get the better of their north-west rivals at Anfield on Sunday, with Andoni Iraola seeing the Merseyside outfit claim a precious three points at Bournemouth before the international break.

City have scored thirteen goals across their five victories and will hope to repeat last season's win at Anfield which was claimed in dramatic fashion. Since losing the Community Shield clash against Arsenal, it's been seven wins in all competitions, with the latest success being a 5-3 triumph against Sunderland which suggests goals might be on the cards here.

How the market closed

11 bookmakers
  • Liverpool 27.6% average price 3.44
  • Draw 26.5% average price 3.58
  • Man City (favourite) 45.9% average price 2.07 happened

The chance the closing market gave each outcome with the margin taken out, from the average closing price across every bookmaker in our archive for this game (decimal; a fraction of an average says little); average payout 94.8%. The market made Man City the favourite at 45.9%. Man City won.

Closing odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker Liverpool1 DrawX Man City2 Payout
Bet365 Bet365 3.50 3.75 2.00 95.0%
Unibet Unibet 3.50 3.55 1.98 93.2%

Each bookmaker's last price before the start, among the bookmakers we compare; the best price in each column is marked. Past prices, not a tip.

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How the odds moved before kickoff

SelectionFirst best priceClosing best priceMoveChanceDetails
Liverpool 2.65 Unibet, Fri 25 Sep 3.60 Unibet +35.8%2 of 2 bookmakers drifted 36% to 27%
Draw 3.80 Unibet, Fri 25 Sep 3.75 Bet365 -1.3%1 of 2 bookmakers shortened 26%, unchanged
Man City 2.60 Bet365, Wed 7 Oct 2.00 Bet365 -23.1%2 of 2 bookmakers shortened 38% to 48%
51% 22%
4.13 1.72
Fri 25 Sep 20:578 days beforeKickoff

Closing odds

BookmakerLiverpoolDrawMan City
Bet365 3.50 3.75 2.00
Unibet 3.60 3.65 2.00

Best prices across the bookmakers we compare, captured every few minutes up to kickoff since Fri 25 Sep. Chance is the average of the bookmakers' prices with their margin removed. Price moves show what bookmakers did, not what will happen.

Anytime goalscorer moves

Taken off the board before kickoff

  • Alexander Isak withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 2.65
  • Cody Gakpo withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 3.70
  • Rio Ngumoha withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 4.50
  • Jérémy Doku withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 5.00
  • Dominik Szoboszlai withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 6.00
  • Jeremie Frimpong withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 9.00
  • Joško Gvardiol withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 10.00
  • Ayyoub Bouaddi withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 10.00
  • Konstantinos Tsimikas withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 12.50
  • Abdukodir Khusanov withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 13.00

and 1 more.

Best anytime goalscorer prices across the bookmakers we compare. Bookmakers take players off the board for several reasons, often around team news; a withdrawal shows what they did, not why.

Recent form

Liverpool · last 5 in the league

  1. W at Bournemouth 1-0
  2. D v Fulham 0-0
  3. W at Ipswich Town 2-0
  4. D v Nottingham Forest 2-2
  5. D at Newcastle 2-2

Man City · last 5 in the league

  1. W v Sunderland 5-3
  2. W at Manchester Utd 1-0
  3. W v Coventry City 1-0
  4. W at Crystal Palace 4-1
  5. W v Bournemouth 2-1

Goals markets, last games

Statistic Liverpoollast 6 Man Citylast 6
Over 1.5 goals 67%4 of 6 67%4 of 6
Over 2.5 goals 33%2 of 6 67%4 of 6
Over 3.5 goals 33%2 of 6 33%2 of 6
Both teams scored 50%3 of 6 67%4 of 6
Clean sheet 50%3 of 6 33%2 of 6
Failed to score 17%1 of 6 0%0 of 6
Led at half time 17%1 of 6 67%4 of 6

Each side's last league games before this one, on the regular-time score, from our results feed.

Head to head

3Liverpool 4Draws 3Man City

10 meetings in England - Premier League since Oct 2021, before this game

The closing favourite won 3 of 5 of these meetings, across the bookmakers we compared at the time.

  1. Liverpool 1-2 Man City HT 0-0
    Closed 12.10Bet365 X3.90Bet365 23.00Bet365 payout 93.8% favourite lost
  2. Man City 3-0 Liverpool HT 2-0
    Closed 11.85Bet365 X4.00Bet365 23.90Unibet payout 94.4% favourite won
  3. Man City 0-2 Liverpool HT 0-2
    Closed 13.00Bet365 X3.80Bet365 22.43Unibet payout 95.1% favourite won
  4. Liverpool 2-0 Man City HT 1-0
    Closed 12.00Bet365 X3.80Bet365 23.75Unibet payout 94.9% favourite won
  5. Liverpool 1-1 Man City HT 0-1
    Closed 14.00Unibet X3.80Bet365 22.05Bet365 payout 95.0% favourite lost

Closing prices: each bookmaker's last price before kick-off, the best of the bookmakers we compared at the time; the favourite is the shortest average price.

Venue Anfield Liverpool, England | 55,000 capacity

Liverpool v Manchester City Betting Markets

The bookies can't call the outcome of this Premier League showdown. Both teams are given a roughly 37% chance of success in a fixture which is always eagerly-awaited. Liverpool have drawn both their Anfield clashes thus far, with Nottingham Forest and Fulham having both held the Reds. However, the Merseyside outfit did beat Atletico Madrid in the Champions League and there was also a Carabao Cup win over Tottenham.

Liverpool are unbeaten this season, having rescued a 2-2 draw at Newcastle in their opener and there have been victories on the road at Ipswich and Bournemouth. Andoni Iraola is still trying to bed down attacking principles within the group, although he'll be pleased that Alexander Isak is starting to find the net on a regular basis after a difficult first season.

Manchester City are on a winning run and they'll be annoyed that their streak was disrupted by a lengthy international break. However, the past couple of weeks has seen a storm swirl around the Etihad Stadium considering that the Premier League charges have come to light. It will be interesting to see how the team react to off-the-field drama.

It's possible that City will be subjected to a points deduction at some stage this season, although they're regarded as the slightly better team than Liverpool. Given that they're the away team with the same odds as the hosts, then the Premier League betting sites rate them more highly and every assignment has been passed since that Community Shield defeat.

The past two matches have seen City score five goals apiece, with that coming after a dramatic 1-0 success at Old Trafford, with a win at Porto also coming in the Champions League. The visitors are going for the win here, although perhaps the draw could be the best bet.

Goals Under/Over

Over 2.5 Goals is operating at odds of around 1.57. This suggests that the combined goals total of Liverpool and Manchester City is a 64% chance of being three or more. It's hardly a surprise when you consider the scoring power of both teams, with three of City's five Premier League games having gone over the 2.5 line so far.

The 5-3 win over Sunderland laid bare the team's attacking prowess but also some defensive vulnerabilities and Liverpool will be keen to exploit them. The Reds' past two top-flight encounters have been low on goals, with a goalless draw against Fulham coming before a slender 1-0 victory at Bournemouth.

All three of the meetings between Liverpool and City yielded at least three goals last season. However, the previous four clashes saw the goal total go under 2.5 and perhaps there might be some caginess from both sides.

BTTS

BTTS Yes is trading at an even shorter price than Over 2.5 Goals although it should be noted that BTTS No has been a more profitable wager for this match in recent seasons. In the past five meetings, BTTS Yes has only happened on one occasion. That was the Anfield clash last season, with the game being goalless until the final twenty minutes when Liverpool took the lead only to be overhauled come the final whistle.

One way to look at this game is that City are highly likely to score a goal. After all, it's been seven straight clashes in all competitions that Enzo Maresca's side has found the net. There have been twenty goals notched and we don't need to highlight the scoring power of Erling Haaland who is flanked by lots of other great attacking options.

Although Liverpool drew a blank at home to Fulham, they have scored in their other four Premier League clashes. Indeed, the Reds have racked up at least two goals in five matches across all competitions this term. The home crowd will be urging them to attack opponents who conceded three at home to Sunderland three weeks ago.

First Goalscorer

It's no surprise that Erling Haaland is averaging a goal per game this season, with the Norwegian returning from international duty to pick up where he left off. The striker scored the winning goal in this fixture last term and will be bidding to score for a sixth consecutive clash in all competitions. It's always hard to bet against him finding the net and he's got a solid track record at Anfield.

Antoine Semenyo came to the fore when notching a brace against Sunderland as part of a 5-3 win. Enzo Fernandez was off the mark for his team in that match, with Rayan Cherki having also scored. There are lots of viable options and the same applies to Liverpool.

Alexander Isak has four goals on the board after a promising start to the season, with the Liverpool forward having ended a run of four games without a goal by scoring the winner at Bournemouth. The former Newcastle man will be eager to record more goals at Anfield and he's got the proven class to find the net against any opponent.