Match Result: Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern Munich have become a reliable pick when it comes to weekend accumulators. They’ve bagged eight consecutive wins in the German Bundesliga this term, with the champions boasting an unblemished record in all competitions. While it’s surely unfeasible that they’ll preserve this 100% record throughout the campaign, they are overwhelming favourites to claim a weekend win over Bayer Leverkusen.
Bayern’s match odds are around the 1.20 mark which implies an 82% chance that they’ll land a victory. Some will feel as though this is a banker for the acca and we can see a comfortable win for Vincent Kompany’s men. However, there is an argument that this procession of victories will eventually come to an end.
The Bundesliga betting sites think that Bayern are roughly two goals better than Bayer Leverkusen. On the Asian Handicap, you can get a decent price about the home side off a -2 goal handicap. They have generally been able to cover this in their matches this season. Not many teams have come close, with Borussia Dortmund only losing 2-1 at the Allianz on 18 October.
However, Leverkusen are going to provide a challenge. The visitors are unbeaten on the road this season. They haven’t lost in the Bundesliga since being defeated in their opener against Hoffenheim on 23 August. They were humbled at home to Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League when being toppled by a 7-2 scoreline against the champions of Europe.
They have been one of the great entertainers of German football this term. There was a 3-3 draw away to Werder Bremen, a 2-1 victory away to St Pauli and a 4-3 success in Mainz. These sort of scorelines make them look somewhat dangerous although they will surely be left wide open to Bayern attacks by taking that approach.
Goals Under/Over
It’s possible that a Bayern Munich game will eventually go under the 2.5 goal line. However, we don’t think this match is where it happens. There’s an 80% chance that we see three or more goals being registered in this battle between two of Germany’s historic clubs. Bayern have proven capable of covering this line on their own for the majority of matches.
Kompany’s men have notched seventeen times in the space of four home games. They have also scored thirteen goals over four away matches. They do tend to dominate games and have the lion’s share of possession. There has only been one goal conceded at the Allianz Arena and that could spell danger for Leverkusen.
However, Kasper Hjulmand’s side do average three on the road this season. It feels unlikely as though the visitors will adopt too defensive a gameplan considering that they’re set up to attack. We think Over 3.5 Goals could therefore be worth chancing.
BTTS
The BTTS market is altogether more interesting. Bayern Munich are renowned for their dangerous attacking players but they have a defensive steeliness. That has led to them conceding just four goals in eight top-flight games. On home soil, only Borussia Dortmund’s consolation effort has been registered in the Bundesliga.
However, Chelsea were able to notch what ended up being a consolation goal in the Champions League. Stuttgart also scored against them in the German Cup, with Hoffenheim and Pafos also on target against them. We think Bayer Leverkusen might also end up with a goal on the board in this one.
The bottom line is that Leverkusen have found the net in every match played thus far. Aside from a couple of 2-0 home wins against Union Berlin and Freiburg, every match involving this team have resulted in BTTS Yes. That crazy 7-2 defeat at the hands of PSG laid bare that while this team have plenty of attacking might, there’s a vulnerability that could see the German champions make hay.
The best play of the game could be a Bayern win along with BTTS Yes. You can get an attractive price about those outcomes and we can see this being along the lines of a 4-1 or 5-1 scoreline.
First Goalscorer
The first name on everyone’s lips is Harry Kane. The Bayern Munich centre forward has scored twelve times in the Bundesliga this season. It’s a sustainable average of 1.5 goals per game and the England captain has an astonishing twenty-two goals in all matches. There have only been a couple of matches where Kane has drawn a blank, including the recent 3-0 success away to Borussia Monchengladbach.
On home soil, Kane has a 100% strike rate. There was an early season hat-trick against RB Leipzig before braces against Hamburg, Chelsea and Werder Bremen. Luis Diaz is a good alternative and the Colombian has notched eight goals in all competitions this term, with Michael Olise having bagged seven times and the former Crystal Palace man is highly dangerous.
Bayer Leverkusen have spread their goals more evenly across the team, although Alejandro Grimaldo has shown glimpses of scoring ability this term. That includes a brace away to Mainz, with Alex Garcia also having been at the double against Paris Saint-Germain. Ernest Poku has three in his past six games and the 21-year-old could cause the Bayern defence a few problems.