Inter Milan v Roma Match Result
According to the Serie A match odds, Inter have a 57% chance of recording a victory. The Italian champions have won twenty-one of their thirty-three clashes this term, with eight draws coming and also four defeats. One of those four losses came at Bologna last weekend when the home side were able to score a late winner.
Bologna were reasonable value for that victory, having allowed Inter to have just one shot on target all game. If that wasn’t bad enough, there was a 3-0 Coppa Italia defeat on Wednesday night. A Luka Jovic brace was followed by a Tijjani Reijnders late goal and it has left Simone Inzaghi to do some soul-searching ahead of this clash.
Inter have won twelve of their sixteen clashes at home this term, although the pressure is now starting to develop considering that they’re only above Napoli on goal difference. There’s not much between the two teams in the outright betting market, with the bookies thinking that Antonio Conte has a strong chance of usurping his former club.
Roma are also bang in form. You have to back to 15 December to find the last time that they lost in a Serie A match and that was a 2-0 defeat at Como. Since then, it has been a succession of wins and draws in the Italian top flight. There was a six-match winning run between 16 February when beating Parma and 9 March where Empoli were defeated.
Having exited the Europa League at the hands of Athletic Bilbao, there have been three 1-0 wins over Cagliari, Lecce and Verona. There have also been 1-1 draws against Juventus and Lazio. It has to be considered that Roma might be playing this fixture at a good time, with Inter still in the Champions League and clashing with Barcelona next week.
Goals Under/Over
There’s nothing between the Under and Over 2.5 Goals quotes. The bookies think the line is about right and punters have the choice of which way the game will end up. There have been fifty-five goals scored in sixteen Inter matches at Serie A this term, with the champions having notched thirty-seven times but also conceding on eighteen occasions. This average is much higher than three goals but you have to take the circumstances into consideration.
Inter have drawn a blank in the previous two encounters and will want to try and win this in an efficient manner. In five of the previous six Inter clashes, there have been three goals or more, with this including a 2-1 success away to Bayern in the Champions League before drawing 2-2 against the German champions to go through.
Roma’s last six Serie A clashes have featured two goals or less. Defensively, Claudio Ranieri’s side have been strong and that might lead punters to wagering the Under 2.5 Goals quote.
BTTS
The BTTS betting odds for this Serie A clash between Inter and Roma are exactly the same as the Total Goals prices. Therefore, it’s dealer’s choice as to whether we’ll see both teams finding the net or alternatively at least one side to fall short. It should be borne in mind that the visitors have won four of their previous six top-flight encounters by a single goal. Victories over Empoli, Cagliari, Lecce and Verona have all been achieved by a 1-0 scoreline.
The other two recent matches have been 1-1 draws against Juventus and Lazio. That amounts to just two goals being conceded by Roma in those half dozen encounters. However, Inter don’t tend to fall short too many times in front of goal, especially at home. Simone Inzaghi’s side are averaging more than two per home encounter, with Inter having lots of recent BTTS Yes games.
There were six consecutive Inter clashes where BTTS Yes happened before those defeats against Bologna and Milan. It’s hard to envisage that a team chasing the title will continue to stumble to the extent that they will draw a blank.
First Goalscorer
Marcus Thuram and Lautaro Martinez have scored a combined twenty-six goals in Serie A this season. The former managed to find the net against Feyenoord in the Champions League back in March and then scored away to Parma as part of a 2-2 draw. However, it’s Martinez who has come to the fore recently.
There have been six goals scored in the space of eleven recent clashes, with the Argentine embarking on a three-match streak after bagging against Bayern Munich, Cagliari and Bayern Munich. Marko Arnautovic might also be the man for the big occasion and the veteran forward has chipped in with some important goals recently.
Ukrainian forward Artem Dovbyk has scored a sum total of seventeen goals in all competitions and the Roma man was able to score a recent winner against Lecce. There was also the winning goal against Cagliari. Eldor Shomurodov has also notched a couple of notable goals recently and he could be the fly in the ointment as far as Inter are concerned.