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Barcelona v Real Madrid Betting Odds

Barcelona W W W W W
Real Madrid W W L W W

Full time Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid HT 0-1

Barcelona v Real Madrid was played on 25 October 2026. Below is how the market closed: the last price before the start at each bookmaker. Barcelona opened at 1.57 and closed at 1.56, the best price at kickoff.

Automatically generated from our odds data

Barcelona are trading at typically short betting odds to win Sunday's El Clasico. They have won all nine of their La Liga clashes this term, scoring a monster thirty-nine goals in the process. The stats are frightening and Barca will be a popular accumulator pick when it comes to their weekend showdown against a Real Madrid side who haven't been foot perfect this term.

Los Merengues have won all five of their games at the Santiago Bernabeu although they've hit a couple of bumps in the road away from home. They'll aim to nullify their free-scoring opponents and they'll come into this encounter off the back of successive wins against Villarreal and Sevilla.

How the market closed

10 bookmakers
  • Barcelona (favourite) 59.9% average price 1.56
  • Draw 16.5% average price 5.67
  • Real Madrid 23.6% average price 3.96 happened

The chance the closing market gave each outcome with the margin taken out, from the average closing price across every bookmaker in our archive for this game (decimal; a fraction of an average says little); average payout 93.5%. The market made Barcelona the favourite at 59.9%. Real Madrid won.

Closing odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker Barcelona1 DrawX Real Madrid2 Payout
Bet365 Bet365 1.55 6.00 4.00 94.2%
Unibet Unibet 1.56 6.10 4.00 94.8%

Each bookmaker's last price before the start, among the bookmakers we compare; the best price in each column is marked. Past prices, not a tip.

Did you beat the closing price?

Enter the price you took in the closing line value calculator, with this game's average close filled in: Barcelona, Draw, Real Madrid. One price proves little either way; beating the close over many bets is the sign of value.

How the odds moved before kickoff

SelectionFirst best priceClosing best priceMoveChanceDetails
Barcelona 1.57 Unibet, Mon 12 Oct 1.56 Unibet -0.6% 62% to 61%
Draw 4.90 Unibet, Mon 12 Oct 6.10 Unibet +24.5%2 of 2 bookmakers drifted 20% to 16%
Real Madrid 5.00 Bet365, Tue 13 Oct 4.00 Bet365 -20%1 of 2 bookmakers shortened 18% to 24%
71% 8%
7.83 1.01
Sun 11 Oct 13:457 days beforeKickoff

Closing odds

BookmakerBarcelonaDrawReal Madrid
Bet365 1.55 6.00 4.00
Unibet 1.56 6.10 4.00

Best prices across the bookmakers we compare, captured every few minutes up to kickoff since Sun 11 Oct. Chance is the average of the bookmakers' prices with their margin removed. Price moves show what bookmakers did, not what will happen.

Anytime goalscorer moves

Taken off the board before kickoff

  • Gabriel Jesus withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 2.40
  • Karim Adeyemi withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 2.90
  • Carlos Espi withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 2.90
  • Dani Olmo withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 3.10
  • Vinícius Júnior withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 3.50
  • Endrick withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 3.50
  • Gavi withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 5.50
  • Brahim Díaz withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 6.50
  • Jules Koundé withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 6.50
  • Marc Bernal withdrawn by 2 bookmakers; was 6.75

and 12 more.

Best anytime goalscorer prices across the bookmakers we compare. Bookmakers take players off the board for several reasons, often around team news; a withdrawal shows what they did, not why.

Recent form

Barcelona · last 5 in the league

  1. W at Betis 5-2
  2. W v Getafe 3-0
  3. W at Sevilla 3-1
  4. W v Racing Santander 7-2
  5. W at Levante 4-2

Real Madrid · last 5 in the league

  1. W v Sevilla 4-1
  2. W v Villarreal 1-0
  3. L at Atlético Madrid 1-2
  4. W at Elche 3-2
  5. W v Rayo Vallecano 4-1

Goals markets, last games

Statistic Barcelonalast 8 Real Madridlast 8
Over 1.5 goals 100%8 of 8 75%6 of 8
Over 2.5 goals 88%7 of 8 75%6 of 8
Over 3.5 goals 75%6 of 8 62%5 of 8
Both teams scored 62%5 of 8 62%5 of 8
Clean sheet 38%3 of 8 25%2 of 8
Failed to score 0%0 of 8 12%1 of 8
Led at half time 88%7 of 8 50%4 of 8

Each side's last league games before this one, on the regular-time score, from our results feed.

Head to head

5Barcelona 0Draws 5Real Madrid

10 meetings in Spain - La Liga since Oct 2021, before this game

The closing favourite won 4 of 5 of these meetings, across the bookmakers we compared at the time.

  1. Barcelona 2-0 Real Madrid HT 2-0
    Closed 11.62Bet365 X4.75Bet365 24.33Bet365 payout 94.3% favourite won
  2. Real Madrid 2-1 Barcelona HT 2-1
    Closed 11.83Bet365 X5.10Unibet 25.60Unibet payout 93.8% favourite won
  3. Barcelona 4-3 Real Madrid HT 4-2
    Closed 12.50Unibet X4.50Unibet 23.60Bet365 payout 94.6% favourite won
  4. Real Madrid 0-4 Barcelona HT 0-0
    Closed 12.00Bet365 X4.10Bet365 23.70Unibet payout 94.7% favourite lost
  5. Real Madrid 3-2 Barcelona HT 1-1
    Closed 11.81Unibet X4.10Unibet 24.50Unibet payout 96.5% favourite won

Closing prices: each bookmaker's last price before kick-off, the best of the bookmakers we compared at the time; the favourite is the shortest average price.

Venue Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona, Spain | 105,000 capacity

Barcelona v Real Madrid Betting Markets

Barcelona might actually be a value bet at 1.60 to win this El Clasico showdown. The Catalan side have won all nine matches thus far, scoring a massive thirty-nine goals and they'll be pumped when lining up against Real Madrid on Sunday. It was a flawless campaign across all competitions until the Spanish champions ran into Paris Saint-Germain on Tuesday night and left France after a 4-2 defeat.

Jose Mourinho will have watched that game with interest. PSG were able to take the game away from Barca in the final twenty minutes, with the French side registering a massive fourteen shots on target. However, there's no arguing with the Catalan side when it comes to their domestic form and they have been putting every side to the sword so far.

Barcelona haven't just won all their La Liga clashes this term, these victories have been earned by a two-goal margin or bigger. They flexed their attacking muscle when claiming a 5-2 success at Real Betis a week ago. They've scored in volume at the Nou Camp this season, with the team averaging more than four goals per home match right now.

Can Real Madrid get anything from this clash? Their stats on the road have been fairly modest, with two wins and two defeats occurring from four road trips. They did claim a 4-3 success away to Roma in the Champions League and followed this up with a 4-1 win over Sevilla. However, we might expect Los Merengues to take a more pragmatic approach in this derby game.

Mourinho would take a draw from this clash and perhaps there'll be an element of parking the bus from his side. They found a way to beat Villarreal 1-0 a couple of weeks ago, although any plan might go out of the window if they fall behind early in this clash.

Goals Under/Over

Over 2.5 Goals is a virtual certainty according to the La Liga betting sites. It's very rare that you see this outcome trading at odds of 1.20. This means an 85% chance that there will be at least three goals at the Nou Camp. Over 3.5 Goals is trading at 1.53 and that means a 65% chance of four or more goals being scored.

Barcelona have a strong chance of scoring at least three goals themselves. There have been twenty-one goals notched across their four home matches in La Liga. They were involved in a 4-2 defeat at PSG on Tuesday and they will aim to outscore any opponent. There could be a case for going Over 4.5 Goals and punching this high means you can get odds-against at 2.20.

As for Real Madrid, it will be interesting to see which type of tactical approach is taken. It's notable that only twelve goals have been scored across four away games involving Los Merengues. A 2-1 victory away to Real Espanyol was followed by a 1-0 defeat at Real Betis. Then came a 3-2 success at Elche before losing 2-1 to Atletico Madrid. Jose Mourinho might take a pragmatic approach to the game which could see the goal count end up lower.

BTTS

It's inconceivable that Barcelona will fail to score in this match. It would be some achievement for Real Madrid to stop opposition who have found the net thirty-nine times across nine matches. The Catalan side are going to create several scoring chances and it's very likely that Flick's side will be on the scoresheet.

The more pertinent question is whether Real Madrid will score. They've not been foot-perfect on the road and drew a blank at Real Betis. That is the only game in all competitions where they've failed to find the net. However, this is a match where they might take a defensive approach, especially in the early stages.

Although Real drew a blank away to Real Betis, they produced eight shots on target in that clash and have the inimitable Kylian Mbappe. He's into double figures for the season across all competitions. A win for Barcelona along with BTTS Yes could be the best bet to have and those selections could be included in a Bet Builder.

First Goalscorer

Mbappe has eleven goals on the board this season and the French sharp shooter is one reason why Real Madrid might get something from the game. The 27-year-old bagged a hat-trick against Real Sociedad earlier in the campaign and also managed braces against Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla. The forward is going to cause problems for a Barcelona back line who did concede four times against PSG.

Raphinha has a massive fifteen goals on the board this season although the Brazilian hasn't found the net for Barcelona in over a month. He enjoyed an explosive start to the campaign when pilfering goals for five consecutive matches, with consecutive hat-tricks also being enjoyed against Racing and Sevilla.

Lamine Yamal has scored in consecutive matches leading into the Clasico, with the young Spaniard certainly motivated to perform at the peak of his powers. Anthony Gordon has scored against Getafe and Galatasaray since making the switch from Newcastle, with the 25-year-old looking to make a name for himself.