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Spain - La Liga predicted table

Every team ranked by the chance the title odds give it, from 2 bookmakers' prices with the margin taken out, next to where it sits in the table now. It moves with the odds. A reading of the market, not a prediction of ours.

What the odds say

  • Title favourite Barcelona 67% chance, best price 1.33
  • Next in the betting Real Madrid 26% chance
  • Most above the odds Racing Santander 16th in the table, 19th in the odds
  • Most below the odds Valencia 19th in the table, 13th in the odds

The table by the odds

20 teams
Odds Team Title chance Best price Relegation Table
1 Barcelona 67% 1.33 - 1
2 Real Madrid 26% 3.50 - 3 ▼1
3 Atlético Madrid 5.3% 17.00 - 2 ▲1
4 Betis 0.9% 101.00 - 4
5 Athletic Bilbao 0.5% 201.00 1.0% 7 ▼2
6 Real Sociedad 0.3% 351.00 1.0% 5 ▲1
7 Villarreal 0.1% 751.00 1.5% 8 ▼1
8 Sevilla 0.1% 751.00 4.8% 6 ▲2
9 Celta - - 14% 9
10 Rayo Vallecano - - 14% 11 ▼1
11 Espanyol - - 14% 14 ▼3
12 Alaves - - 17% 10 ▲2
13 Valencia - - 22% 19 ▼6
14 Getafe - - 25% 12 ▲2
15 Dep A Coruna - - 25% 13 ▲2
16 Osasuna - - 25% 15 ▲1
17 Elche - - 29% 17
18 Levante - - 29% 18
19 Racing Santander - - 45% 16 ▲3
20 Malaga - - 71% 20

"Odds" is the place by title chance: each team's price to win the Spain - La Liga averaged across the bookmakers we compare, turned into a chance and scaled so the chances add up to 100%. "Best price" is the longest of those prices; "Relegation" is the chance the average relegation price implies, margin included (several teams go down, so these add up to more than 100%), and it ranks the teams under a 1% title chance. ▲ a team is higher in the table than the odds rank it, ▼ lower. Odds from the bookmakers we compare, updated through the day.

Spain - La Liga predicted table FAQ

Who do the bookies predict to win the Spain La Liga?
Barcelona, with a 67.3% chance from the outright odds once the bookmakers' margin is taken out, ahead of Real Madrid (25.6%) and Atlético Madrid (5.3%). The odds move with every result, so this table changes through the season.
Which Spain La Liga team is doing better than the odds expect?
Racing Santander sit 16th in the table, 3 places above the 19th the title odds rank them. At the other end, Valencia are 19th, 6 places below their 13th in the odds.
How is the predicted table worked out?
Each team's price to win the Spain La Liga is averaged across the 2 bookmakers we compare, turned into a chance and scaled so all the chances add up to 100%, which takes the bookmakers' margin out. Teams are ranked by that chance; below a 1% title chance the prices say little, so those teams are ranked by the relegation odds where there are some. It is a reading of the market, not our prediction.