Croatia v Spain Betting Markets
Spain tend to reward backers and that's been the case in the Nations League so far. They took an early lead at Wembley before falling 2-1 down to England. However, Luis de la Fuente's side then claimed a 3-2 success. Days later, it was a more convincing 4-1 success against Croatia and this coming clash in Split is likely to happen after a third straight Nations League win against Czechia.
Not that La Roja will be trading at big odds to claim a victory in Split. They are in the habit of winning games as they proved at the World Cup all the way through to the final. They have plenty of squad depth and we can expect the visitors to be trading at around the 1.50 mark for success. They will potentially be too strong for a modest Croatia team.
Although the Croatians have home advantage, they might be feeling the pinch considering that this is their fourth match in the space of a few days. A 2-1 victory in Prague was followed by a 4-1 defeat in Spain, with their Rijeka clash against England likely to be a tough encounter before inviting an even better side to Split.
Spain's only aberration when it comes to not winning games was an opening goalless draw at the 2026 World Cup where Cape Verde produced an inspired performance to hold the world and European champions. Previously to this, there were a couple of meaningless friendlies against Egypt and Iraq, with the team getting into the winning habit throughout 2026.
There could be some merit in pairing a Spain win with both teams to score. Alternatively, you might consider the visitors to be leading at half-time and full-time. There might also be the chance to load up an accumulator with the team along with other picks.
Goals Under/Over
The Over 2.5 Goals odds are likely to be trading at a relatively short price. The Spanish side have cut loose in the Nations League after a 3-2 success at Wembley before enjoying a 4-1 success against Croatia. Therefore, we have seen them cover the 2.5 goal line singlehandedly in these two matches and the same thing may happen against Czechia.
If Over 2.5 Goals is too short for your liking, then Over 3.5 Goals could also be a runner. In the above two matches, Over 4.5 Goals has happened and that's paid out at a big price. It's hard to see how Croatia will stand in the way of a rampant Spain attack, although they themselves have contributed goals-wise in the first two Nations League clashes.
As with all other markets, you could look at a Nations League Bet Builder which combines a total goals count along with other picks such as Spain to win and BTTS Yes.
BTTS
Spain in the World Cup were watertight defensively. They achieved shutouts against Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, Uruguay, Austria, Portugal, France and Argentina. The only team to find the net against them was Belgium. However, they appear to be a little more defensively open in the Nations League considering that England and Croatia have both found the net.
Luis de la Fuente appears to be a little more carefree on the defensive side of things considering that Spain have the propensity to outscore the opposition. Seven goals across their first two games of the campaign hints at a more expansive game plan and perhaps Croatia will find the net again, even if any goals are likely to be filed under consolation.
Going into their third Nations League game against England in Rijeka, Croatia had been involved in four consecutive BTTS Yes matches. There was a 2-1 group stage win over Ghana at the World Cup before losing by the same scoreline to Portugal in the last 32 stage of the competition. Since then, a 2-1 success over Czechia was followed by a 4-1 defeat against Spain.
First Goalscorer
Lamine Yamal played a starring role when pilfering two goals for Spain against Croatia in Sevilla. The Barcelona forward is one of the Ballon d'Or favourites and he was also on the scoresheet at Wembley when opening the scoring against England. It might be that De La Fuente gives him a rest for this clash given his hectic fixture schedule for the Catalan side but he's clearly a big goal threat.
Mikel Oyarzabal has been ultra-reliable for his country and the Real Sociedad forward has scored thirty-one goals across sixty-three performances for Spain. The 29-year-old may well be given penalty duties for this clash, with Dani Olmo another Barcelona attacking player who has proven his ability to score important goals for the Spanish.
Marc Pubill is relatively inexperienced although the defender scored his first national goal against Croatia, with Nico Williams having found a late goal against the Croats. Alex Baena is someone else that has been on the scoresheet in the Nations League and has the propensity to fire from range.
As for Croatia, the evergreen Luka Modric continues to operate at a strong level and Dion Drena Beljo is a player who notched against Spain in the reverse fixture and could be capable of doing the same here.