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Australia - NRL predicted table

Every team ranked by the chance the title odds give it, from 2 bookmakers' prices with the margin taken out, next to where it sits in the table now. It moves with the odds. A reading of the market, not a prediction of ours.

What the odds say

  • Title favourite Sydney Roosters 13% chance, best price 6.50
  • Next in the betting Dolphins 12% chance
  • Most above the odds NO Queensland Cowboys 8th in the table, 14th in the odds
  • Most below the odds Brisbane Broncos 14th in the table, 8th in the odds

The table by the odds

17 teams
Odds Team Title chance Best price Table
1 Sydney Roosters 13% 6.50 4 ▼3
2 Dolphins 12% 7.50 3 ▼1
3 Penrith Panthers 12% 8.00 1 ▲2
4 New Zealand Warriors 10% 9.50 2 ▲2
5 Melbourne Storm 8.7% 10.00 10 ▼5
6 SO Sydney Rabbitohs 7.7% 11.00 6
7 Newcastle Knights 7.7% 12.00 7
8 Brisbane Broncos 5.3% 17.00 14 ▼6
9 Canterbury Bulldogs 4.1% 23.00 12 ▼3
10 Cronulla Sharks 3.7% 23.00 5 ▲5
11 Canberra Raiders 3.3% 26.00 11
12 Manly Sea E 2.5% 34.00 9 ▲3
13 St George-Il 2.5% 34.00 17 ▼4
14 NO Queensland Cowboys 2.3% 41.00 8 ▲6
15 Parramatta Eels 2.1% 41.00 13 ▲2
16 Gold Coast Titans 1.7% 51.00 16
17 Wests Tigers 1.2% 81.00 15 ▲2

"Odds" is the place by title chance: each team's price to win the Australia - NRL averaged across the bookmakers we compare, turned into a chance and scaled so the chances add up to 100%. "Best price" is the longest of those prices. ▲ a team is higher in the table than the odds rank it, ▼ lower. Odds from the bookmakers we compare, updated through the day.

Australia - NRL predicted table FAQ

Who do the bookies predict to win the Australia NRL?
Sydney Roosters, with a 13.1% chance from the outright odds once the bookmakers' margin is taken out, ahead of Dolphins (12.2%) and Penrith Panthers (11.7%). The odds move with every result, so this table changes through the season.
Which Australia NRL team is doing better than the odds expect?
NO Queensland Cowboys sit 8th in the table, 6 places above the 14th the title odds rank them. At the other end, Brisbane Broncos are 14th, 6 places below their 8th in the odds.
How is the predicted table worked out?
Each team's price to win the Australia NRL is averaged across the 2 bookmakers we compare, turned into a chance and scaled so all the chances add up to 100%, which takes the bookmakers' margin out. Teams are ranked by that chance; below a 1% title chance the prices say little, so those teams are ranked by the relegation odds where there are some. It is a reading of the market, not our prediction.