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Belgium v Italy Betting Odds

Match result · best prices

The bookies make Belgium 43% favourites at home to Italy, though Italy top the table.

Automatically generated from our odds data · updated Sun 15 Nov,From our odds data · 00:24 GMT

Match Winner Odds

Market-implied probability
Belgium 43%
Draw 25%
Italy 32%
Payout on this market Bet365 94.7% Unibet 93.7%

Odds update frequently and may differ at the bookmaker. Always check the bookmaker's site before placing a bet. Probability and payout figures are derived from the displayed bookmaker prices (margin removed) - market averages, not predictions. The fair price is the market's average chance as odds with the margin removed. a bookmaker's price shortened since its last change, drifted; hover for the old price.

Price boosts for this match

All price boosts
  1. Unibet
    Belgium to win both halves
    6.00 Bet
  2. Unibet
    Charles De Ketalaere to score 2+ goals
    12.75 Bet
  3. Unibet
    Kevin De Bruyne to score anytime and have over 1.5 shots on target
    6.75 Bet

18+ · #ad · T&Cs apply. Boosted prices are set by each bookmaker and can change or be withdrawn: check the price on the bookmaker's site before you bet. Updated 00:07 GMT.

How the odds have moved

SelectionFirst best priceBest price nowMoveChanceDetails
Belgium 2.25 Bet365, Fri 13 Nov 2.20 Bet365 -2.2%2 of 2 bookmakers drifted 44% to 43%
Draw 3.70 Unibet, Fri 13 Nov 3.90 Bet365 +5.4%2 of 2 bookmakers drifted 26% to 25%
Italy 3.00 Bet365, Fri 13 Nov 3.05 Unibet +1.7%1 of 2 bookmakers shortened 30% to 32%
49% 21%
4.17 1.83
Fri 13 Nov 00:18Sat 14 Nov 00:21Now

Best prices across the bookmakers we compare, captured every few minutes since Fri 13 Nov. Chance is the average of the bookmakers' prices with their margin removed. Price moves show what bookmakers did, not what will happen.

Anytime goalscorer moves

Price cuts in the last 24 hours

  • Timothy Castagne 15.00 to 13.00 cut by 2 bookmakers
  • Michael Kayode 15.00 to 13.00 cut by 2 bookmakers
  • Nathan Ngoy 15.00 to 13.00 cut by 2 bookmakers

Best anytime goalscorer prices across the bookmakers we compare. Bookmakers take players off the board for several reasons, often around team news; a withdrawal shows what they did, not why.

UEFA Nations League table

Full table
# Team P W D L F:A Diff Pts
1 Italy 5 3 1 1 11:6 +5 10
2 France 5 3 1 1 8:5 +3 10
3 Belgium 5 3 0 2 8:6 +2 9
4 Turkiye 5 0 0 5 3:13 -10 0
  • Playoffs
  • Relegation Playoffs
  • Relegation
  • Season 26/27

Recent form

Belgium · last 5 in the league

  1. W at Turkiye 2-1
  2. L at France 1-4
  3. W v Turkiye 3-0
  4. L v France 0-1
  5. W at Italy 2-0

Italy · last 5 in the league

  1. W v France 3-1
  2. W v Turkiye 3-1
  3. D at France 1-1
  4. W at Turkiye 4-1
  5. L v Belgium 0-2

Goals markets, last games

Statistic Belgiumlast 5 Italylast 5
Over 1.5 goals 80%4 of 5 100%5 of 5
Over 2.5 goals 60%3 of 5 60%3 of 5
Over 3.5 goals 20%1 of 5 60%3 of 5
Both teams scored 40%2 of 5 80%4 of 5
Clean sheet 40%2 of 5 0%0 of 5
Failed to score 20%1 of 5 20%1 of 5
Led at half time 80%4 of 5 40%2 of 5

Each side's last league games before this one, on the regular-time score, from our results feed.

Head to head

1Belgium 0Draws 0Italy

1 meeting in UEFA Nations League since Sep 2026

The closing favourite won 0 of 1 of these meetings, across the bookmakers we compared at the time.

  1. Italy 0-2 Belgium HT 0-1
    Closed 12.10Bet365 X3.60Bet365 23.20Bet365 payout 93.3% favourite lost

Closing prices: each bookmaker's last price before kick-off, the best of the bookmakers we compared at the time; the favourite is the shortest average price.

Venue King Baudouin Stadium Bruxelles, International | 50,000 capacity