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Iceland v Luxembourg Betting Odds

Iceland 1st in UEFA Nations League 26/27, League C, Group 4 · 11 pts W D W W D
Luxembourg 4th in UEFA Nations League 26/27, League C, Group 4 · 3 pts L L L L W
UEFA Nations League

Match result · best prices

Iceland go in as 73% favourites at home to Luxembourg (draw 18%), and they have not lost in five. Iceland top the table.

Automatically generated from our odds data · updated Sun 15 Nov,From our odds data · 21:27 GMT

Winner 1X2 First Goal Scorer Under Over Handicaps Asian Handicap Double Chance Half Time Both Teams To Score Correct Score Draw No Bet

Match Winner Odds

Market-implied probability
Iceland 73%
Draw 18%
Luxembourg 9%
Payout on this market Unibet 93.9% Bet365 93.6%

Odds update frequently and may differ at the bookmaker. Always check the bookmaker's site before placing a bet. Probability and payout figures are derived from the displayed bookmaker prices (margin removed) - market averages, not predictions. The fair price is the market's average chance as odds with the margin removed. a bookmaker's price shortened since its last change, drifted; hover for the old price.

How the odds have moved

SelectionFirst best priceBest price nowMoveChance
Iceland 1.35 Unibet, Sat 14 Nov 1.30 Unibet -3.7%2 of 2 bookmakers shortened 70% to 73%
Draw 5.25 Bet365, Sun 15 Nov 5.25 Bet365 No change2 of 2 bookmakers drifted 19% to 18%
Luxembourg 9.50 Unibet, Sat 14 Nov 11.00 Bet365 +15.8%2 of 2 bookmakers drifted 10% to 9%
82% 0%
12.46 1.01
Sat 14 Nov 09:09Sun 15 Nov 03:18Now

Best prices across the bookmakers we compare, captured every few minutes since Sat 14 Nov. Chance is the average of the bookmakers' prices with their margin removed. Price moves show what bookmakers did, not what will happen.

Anytime goalscorer moves

Price cuts in the last 24 hours

  • Mikael Ellertsson 5.50 to 4.75 cut by 2 bookmakers
  • Andri Guðjohnsen 2.60 to 2.28 cut by 2 bookmakers

Best anytime goalscorer prices across the bookmakers we compare. Bookmakers take players off the board for several reasons, often around team news; a withdrawal shows what they did, not why.

UEFA Nations League table

Full table
# Team P W D L F:A Diff Pts
1 Iceland 5 3 2 0 12:1 +11 11
2 Estonia 5 2 3 0 3:1 +2 9
3 Bulgaria 5 1 1 3 3:10 -7 4
4 Luxembourg 5 1 0 4 2:8 -6 3
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Playoffs
  • Season 26/27

Recent form

Iceland · last 5 in the league

  1. W at Bulgaria 5-0
  2. D at Estonia 0-0
  3. W v Bulgaria 3-0
  4. W at Luxembourg 3-0
  5. D v Estonia 1-1

Luxembourg · last 5 in the league

  1. L v Estonia 0-1
  2. L v Bulgaria 0-2
  3. L at Estonia 0-1
  4. L v Iceland 0-3
  5. W at Bulgaria 2-1

Goals markets, last games

Icelandlast 5 Luxembourglast 7
Over 1.5 goals 80%4 of 5 71%5 of 7
Over 2.5 goals 60%3 of 5 43%3 of 7
Over 3.5 goals 20%1 of 5 0%0 of 7
Both teams scored 20%1 of 5 14%1 of 7
Clean sheet 80%4 of 5 29%2 of 7
Failed to score 20%1 of 5 57%4 of 7
Led at half time 80%4 of 5 14%1 of 7

Each side's last league games before this one, on the regular-time score, from our results feed.

Head to head

1Iceland 0Draws 0Luxembourg

1 meeting in UEFA Nations League since Sep 2026

The closing favourite won 1 of 1 of these meetings, across the bookmakers we compared at the time.

  1. Luxembourg 0-3 Iceland HT 0-2
    Closed 13.50Bet365 X3.40Bet365 22.12Unibet payout 92.0% favourite won

Closing prices: each bookmaker's last price before kick-off, the best of the bookmakers we compared at the time; the favourite is the shortest average price.

Venue Laugardalsvöllur Reykjavík, Iceland | 9,522 capacity