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Iceland v Luxembourg Betting Odds

Iceland 1st in UEFA Nations League 26/27, League C, Group 4 · 11 pts W D W W D
Luxembourg 4th in UEFA Nations League 26/27, League C, Group 4 · 3 pts L L L L W
UEFA Nations League
Winner 1X2 First Goal Scorer Under Over Handicaps Asian Handicap Double Chance Half Time Both Teams To Score Correct Score Draw No Bet

Double Chance Odds

Market-implied probability
Iceland or Draw 45%
Iceland or Luxembourg 41%
Draw or Luxembourg 14%
Payout on this market Bet365 47.1% Unibet 46.3%

Odds update frequently and may differ at the bookmaker. Always check the bookmaker's site before placing a bet. Probability and payout figures are derived from the displayed bookmaker prices (margin removed) - market averages, not predictions. The fair price is the market's average chance as odds with the margin removed.

Anytime goalscorer moves

Price cuts in the last 24 hours

  • Mikael Ellertsson 5.50 to 4.75 cut by 2 bookmakers
  • Andri Guðjohnsen 2.60 to 2.28 cut by 2 bookmakers

Best anytime goalscorer prices across the bookmakers we compare. Bookmakers take players off the board for several reasons, often around team news; a withdrawal shows what they did, not why.

UEFA Nations League table

Full table
# Team P W D L F:A Diff Pts
1 Iceland 5 3 2 0 12:1 +11 11
2 Estonia 5 2 3 0 3:1 +2 9
3 Bulgaria 5 1 1 3 3:10 -7 4
4 Luxembourg 5 1 0 4 2:8 -6 3
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Playoffs
  • Season 26/27

Recent form

Iceland · last 5 in the league

  1. W at Bulgaria 5-0
  2. D at Estonia 0-0
  3. W v Bulgaria 3-0
  4. W at Luxembourg 3-0
  5. D v Estonia 1-1

Luxembourg · last 5 in the league

  1. L v Estonia 0-1
  2. L v Bulgaria 0-2
  3. L at Estonia 0-1
  4. L v Iceland 0-3
  5. W at Bulgaria 2-1

Goals markets, last games

Icelandlast 5 Luxembourglast 7
Over 1.5 goals 80%4 of 5 71%5 of 7
Over 2.5 goals 60%3 of 5 43%3 of 7
Over 3.5 goals 20%1 of 5 0%0 of 7
Both teams scored 20%1 of 5 14%1 of 7
Clean sheet 80%4 of 5 29%2 of 7
Failed to score 20%1 of 5 57%4 of 7
Led at half time 80%4 of 5 14%1 of 7

Each side's last league games before this one, on the regular-time score, from our results feed.

Head to head

1Iceland 0Draws 0Luxembourg

1 meeting in UEFA Nations League since Sep 2026

The closing favourite won 1 of 1 of these meetings, across the bookmakers we compared at the time.

  1. Luxembourg 0-3 Iceland HT 0-2
    Closed 13.50Bet365 X3.40Bet365 22.12Unibet payout 92.0% favourite won

Closing prices: each bookmaker's last price before kick-off, the best of the bookmakers we compared at the time; the favourite is the shortest average price.

Venue Laugardalsvöllur Reykjavík, Iceland | 9,522 capacity